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Chalk Talk College Football Betting Tips 11-05-08

Nov 5, 2008 7:00 PM

Chalk Talk College Football Betting Tips by Kevin Stott |

It’s never a good weekend for me when North Texas and Wyoming cover, let alone find a way to win outright. Such was the case last Saturday when Western Kentucky and San Diego State showed me they deserve spots on the new Rats 11 List by losing to the Mean Green and Cowboys. Congratulations to Wyoming, which covered for the first time since Week 3 of last season. Now could you get back to sucking again?

And TGFWS (Thank God For Washington State). Now allowing 49.2 points per game, the Cougars have vaulted themselves to the top of the Rats 11 list by playing like they just have eight guys on defense. At least one thing held form last week.

Let’s jump back in the water, but this time with one of those long-sleeve bathing suits men used to wear in the late 1800’s. Wouldn’t want to freeze our peanut M&M’s off…

Thursday, Nov. 6

# 11 (AP) TCU (Pick ‘em) at #10 Utah (ESPN): What a great game for a Thursday night! Wasn’t impressed with some of the decision-making by Utes QB Brian Johnson – taking a break from his duties as lead singer of AC/DC to lead Utah – against New Mexico last weekend and he won’t find the sledding any easier against a TCU team which ranks No. 3 in the nation in scoring defense (10.8 PPG).

This one is basically for all the MWC marbles and this season the Horned Frogs appear to be more well-rounded and consistent than the boys in Salt Lake City. A little revenge comes into play here also as Utah won last year at TCU, 27-20. Note, these two have averaged just 39 PPG the last five meetings. Prediction: TCU 23 Utah 14. TCU.

Saturday, Nov. 8

#12 Ohio State (-10) at #26 Northwestern: In the last three meetings, the Buckeyes have done a rain dance on the Wildcats’ head, outscoring them 160-24, or an average of 53-8 per game. That’s a 45-point average victory margin and although NU is respectable this campaign, they’re certainly no Ohio State. Trend-wise, OSU is 3-0 ATS the last three but just 1-4 ATS in Evanston and the Purple Ones are an amazing 14-1 ATS before facing Michigan. But OSU is 11-1 ATS after a SU loss (Penn St). Prediction: Ohio State 34 Northwestern 22. OHIO STATE.

# 8 Oklahoma State at #2 Texas Tech (-5): Good luck still finding the +5 in this Big 12 Game of the Week. No doubt Harrell’s Red Raiders used every ounce of energy to get by Texas last Saturday and they should be emotionally and physically drained for this oh-so important game now that everyone in the nation is talking about them.

Although TT has a dynamic duo in Harrell and Crabtree, the Cowboys have their own in Robinson and Bryant (15 TD receptions) and will be looking to try and get its name into BCS conversations. Points will be plentiful here but this Chalkhead is taking an underdog in this one and like co-worker Richard Saber, is seriously contemplating taking Gundy’s boys on the moneyline. And this may duck under. Prediction: Oklahoma State 37 Texas Tech 35. OKLAHOMA STATE.

Arizona (-37) at Washington State: Have you ever seen a 38-point road underdog? Well now you have. When Dr. Odds (ViewFromVegas.com) released his early line Sunday night and I saw his prediction of a 27-point line, I soon had to go into the bathroom and change my Depends. Then when I saw the real 37-point spread on Don Best, I cursed this non-existent number on which I would have bet my car on.

Anyway, Willie T. and the Cats will have no trouble up in Pullman and I suggest getting a little piece of some ‘Zona first half action (-21 likely). The Wildcats have dominated this series, winning 48-20 LY and going 5-0 ATS the last five and 5-1 ATS the last six at WSU. Last week I said the Cougars were playing more like Gonzaga Prep –

my apologies to Gonzaga Prep as I am sure that some of their players feet have actually touched the end zone. What do we do in Chalkville brother? We picik on the weak and WSU is now easily the weakest of the weak. Prediction: Arizona 60 Washington State 0. ARIZONA.

North Texas at Florida Atlantic (-21): Saw the Mean Green upset WKU on ESPN’s GamePlan last week and I’m still not impressed – although NT put a big (Bucky) dent in my pocketbook. Hey don’t just girls have pocketbooks? Anyway, instead of backing these rats, I will again go against them seeking a nice effort from Howard Schnellenberger’s (I’ll take the over in his last name) troops in Ft. Lauderdale. My streak of winning going against the Eagles in the FIRST HALF was rudely interrupted by the aforementioned Mean Green, but after getting bucked off that horse, I’m jumping back in the saddle and fading NT in the FIRST HALF (-13ish) here.

As far as the entire 60 minutes, I will also go against North Texas here, but for a smaller amount than the first half bet. Prediction: FAU 55 North Texas 24. FLORIDA ATLANTIC.

Sunday, November 9

Carolina Panthers (-7½) at Oakland Raiders: Taking an NFL game for the first time? Have you gone mad James? But it’s the Raiders homey, that lame-ass team that could muster just three first downs in only 15 minutes of possession on Sunday at home nonetheless. Carolina has been no bargain on the road, but was 2-0 ATS LY and is 8-5 in that role since 2005. And with so many talented skill players just itching for a game like this combined with the motivation to stay in the NFC South race, this pro pick may just set a precedence to pick against the Raiders (33% ATS L6 years) every damn week. PANTHERS.

LAST WEEK 
SEASON
  PCT.
BE$T BET$
4-3
60-40
60%
12-4
The Rats 11 List
1.
Washington State
2.
Oakland Raiders (Sorry Al)
3.
Washington
4.
North Texas
5.
San Diego State
6.
Western Kentucky (Sorry Greg)
7.
Wyoming
8.
Idaho
9.
Miami (Ohio ) (Sorry Tim)
10.
New Mexico State (Sorry Eric)
11.
Savannah State

The Trend Is Your Friend: Wazoo has lost nine straight against Arizona schools at home. This week, the ASU Sun Devils are a 15-point chalk in Seattle and may be worth a look. Until next week sports fans, may all your dreams and wishes come true.