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NFL: Caesars set to pay $72K

Nov 9, 2008 6:48 PM
by Mark Mayer | The good news about not being able to post a perfect score in the Caesars Palace NFL Pro Pick Progressive is that the pot rises each week. After nine failures, the big prize is $72,474 to the winner. Unless, of course, it rolls over for a 10th week.

As for as Week 10, several sports books across Las Vegas would like to see the Detroit Lions, Chicago Bears and Buffalo Bills fail to cover. The Lions are a 6½-point home underdog to the struggling 3-5 Jacksonville Jaguars. Recently-signed QB Daunte Culpepper will make his first start for the Lions.

In Chicago, it will be QB Rex Grossman and not the injured Kyle Orton starting against the undefeated Tennessee Titans. The Bears opened as a 3-point underdog at the Las Vegas Hilton and the line has stayed right there in brisk two-way wagering. Tennessee had covered seven straight against the spread until pushing last week in a 3-point overtime win over Green Bay.

Regarding Buffalo, the Bills are a 3½-point road underdog at New England in the tight AFC East race where all four division teams are .500 or better and separated by just one game. Miami and the New York Jets, the other AFC East contenders, are each substantial home favorites. The Dolphins are an 8-point chalk against Seattle, while the Jets are a 9-point favorite over St. Louis.

This season in betting annals has been highlighted (depending on your viewpoint) by the amazing success of double-digit underdogs in covering spreads or the colossal failure of supposedly superior teams to win easy. Double-digit dogs stand 13-1 against the number and can make it 14 if the 1-7 Kansas City Chiefs can come within 14½ points of the underachieving 3-5 Chargers in San Diego.

The marquee matchup is in Philadelphia where the defending Super Bowl champ New York Giants are a 3-point underdog to the Eagles. Philadelphia oft-injured RB Brian Westbrook has a bruised knee but is expected to play.

And when checking the Nevada rotation of games, note that the Houston Texans are hosting Baltimore and not Cincinnati thanks to Hurricane Ike. Baltimore is a 1-point underdog and Cincy is off thanks to Ike.