Chalk Talk College Football Betting Tips 11-12-08

Nov 12, 2008 6:57 PM

Chalk Talk College Football Betting Tips by Kevin Stott |

We’re quickly running out of real rats to bet against in this weekly GT website feature with Wyoming covering two straight after a 13-month hiatus in the "W" column and Washington State actually scoring first and putting up 28 points against Arizona last Saturday. And now no North Texas on the schedule this weekend? What’s a girl to do?

Well let’s tighten up our belts, forget the past and forge boldly into the future, where there is still theoretically some money to be won. With the numbers tightening up and the lowly sick and tired of being called lowly, let’s stay positive and try and pick some winners for our readers. And note that I’ll be down on all these games so if you get a loser here, yours truly will be weeping in his Apple Jacks. Mahalo.

Saturday, November 15

Texas (-13) at Kansas: Colt McCoy & Co. can do nothing now but win by big margins –

and wait for someone ahead of them in the BCS – they’re currently No. 3 – to lose. This week in Lawrence, expect another top-notch effort from the Longhorns who pasted the Jayhawks, 66-14 in 2005. Kansas is just not in Texas’s league. Prediction: Texas 47 Kansas 24. TEXAS -13.

Arizona at Oregon (-6): The Wildcats played more like kittens against Washington State and in Eugene this may be the perfect spot for the Ducks to flourish. Oregon was 8-4 ATS as a home favorite heading into this season but is 0-3 L3 ATS in this series. Still, the point spread is the barometer in sports betting, and laying six with this talented of a Ducks team seems like pretty good value, especially considering it’s a home game and the November weather in Autzen Stadium may turn into a factor. Also a high-scoring game. Oregon 44 Arizona 33. OREGON -6.

Boise State (-34) at Idaho: This is an awful lot of points to lay on the road but Boise State is still undefeated and you know on campus some students believe their Broncos should be in the BCS title hunt. After all, they upset Oklahoma two years ago right? In this series, the Broncos are 3-1 ATS the last four meetings and creamed the Vandals in their Potato State Battle last year, 58-14. With southpaw Kellen Moore now a QB, RBs Ian Johnson and Jeremy Avery and WR Jeremy Childs, Boise has a plethora of weapons. GT’s Sid Diamond likes Boise St. in the FIRST HALF and I concur. And they should get the money for the game also. Prediction: Boise St. 51 Idaho 10. BOISE STATE -34.

USC (20½) at Stanford: USC defense has been so stellar as of late, and combined with the fact they’re on the cusp of competing for BCS (No. 6) positioning along with the fact they got beat last year as one of the biggest favorites of the year to the Cardinal (39½), I like the Trojans to be on their best behavior in Stanford Stadium in this one. Prediction: USC 34 Stanford 10. USC -20 ½.

Nebraska (+6) Kansas State: Points, points, points, points, points. It seems that every Saturday, both Nebraska and Kansas State game fly over the total and last these two combined for 104 points (73-31). Let’s stick with the trend. OVER.

Ohio State (-8) at Illinois: Liked the way the Buckeyes played last week against Northwestern and expect a similar effort here in Champaign against the Illini. Again, the line seems fair here and with Pryor and the two Wells’ getting it done in OSU’s backfield, they key in this game will be Illinois’ defense and whether it can stop the Buckeyes. And after the Fighting Illini toppled the Buckeye’s applecart last year, expect a focused effort from Tressel’s Troops at Memorial Stadium. Prediction: OSU 35 Illinois 21. OHIO STATE -8.

Washington State at Arizona State (-38): Although the Cougars covered last week against Arizona – and scored 28 points to boot – I’m jumping back in the saddle here and fading WSU who gives up points in droves. Arizona State is healthier now than at the start of the season and with QB Carpenter and WR Jones playing at home in Sun Devil Stadium in Tempe against this patsy, a blowout is certain. Arizona State 59 WSU 10. ASU -38.

MTSU (-4½) at Western Kentucky (Added game): Not many focus in on the Sun Belt, but if you pick your spots, cash can be had. Here the Blue Raiders travel to Bowling Green to dance with the Hilltoppers and once again, the price (-4½) just seems right. Now where is Bob Barker when you need him? Last year, WKU upset MTSU (20-17) but that was then and this is now and I want my money on the more talented squad. And who’s the new No. 1 on my Rats 11 List? You guessed it brother. Embrace logic. Prediction: MTSU 31 WKU 21. MTSU -4 ½. (BE$T BET$)

LAST WEEK
SEASON
PCT
BE$T BET$
4-3
64-43
59.8%
12-4