6:05 p.m. PT at Denver
Mavericks +6 at Nuggets (206½)
On the surface the 6 seems a bit high, but Dallas has dropped two straight on its road swing out West and is 0-5 against the spread in its last five outings. The Mavs come off a seven-point loss at 9-29 Sacramento after having been blown out by 28 at Phoenix. So clearly this is not a team to back at present.
Denver just had its five-game win streak snapped by Detroit in a three-point loss. But the Nuggets have played well without their top scorer Carmelo Anthony, who will be sidelined several more weeks. Looking at the total, Denver has gone 9-1 to the over in its last 10 games. Nuggets games have hit 205 or higher in five of the last six so this one could be a shootout. Dirk Nowitzki scored just 15 points for the Mavs in the loss to Sacramento and we would expect a bounce back effort here. OVER.