NBA: West final (Game 4)
6:05 p.m. PT at Denver
Lakers +4½ at Nuggets (208)
The Vegas books believe the zig-zag theory works here or why would Denver move from a 3½-point favorite to 4½ after losing Game 3? The Nuggets have the greater urgency since another loss gives LA a 3-1 series lead and forces Denver to win out. So far the Nuggets have not been able to create separation from the Lakers, which makes the 4½ points tempting for the dog.
The projected total also has value if you like the over. The first three games have gone under the projected totals of 213½, 211½ and 212. The four-point drop to 208 would have put one of those games above and another within a point. Each team has been able to crack 100 points so we think the over has value. LAKERS / OVER.