LA vs. LA in baseball's World Series not far-fetched

Oct 13, 2009 5:04 PM
The 3-2 Pitch by Andy Iskoe |

Oops.

Something happened to the Cardinals on their way to their recently forecasted date with the New York Yankees. That ‘something’ was the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Dodgers now await the winner of the Colorado vs. Philadelphia series to see who they will host in the first game of the best of seven NLCS that is scheduled to begin on Saturday.

We could have an all Los Angeles World Series as the Angels similarly swept the Boston Red Sox out of the Playoffs. The Angels will face the Yankees after New York swept their series against Minnesota, winning both games two and three in late inning come from behind fashion.

The Yankees have opened as minus 170 favorites over the Angels with the take back the plus 150 hoped for in this column a week ago. That price makes the Angels an attractively priced underdog to win this best of seven series.

The forecast here remains for the Yankees to get by the Angels and advance to the World Series. The difference may well be the play of Mark Texeira, now the first baseman of the Yankees after having held down the same position last season with the Angels.

If you are a "value" bettor then taking the Angels at plus 150 or more is a good play. At the same time a strategy for playing the Yankees might be to lay the run and a half in games at Yankee Stadium, relying on their powerful lineup with home run potential at almost every spot in the order.

For now, the preferred play in Game One will be UNDER 8½ in the matchup between Lackey and Sabathia. Should the Yankees win Game One the Angels would be worth a play in Game Two if getting at least plus 140 in an expected matchup between Weaver and Burnett. Should the Angels upset the Yankees in Game One then the Game Two would be the Yankees on the Run Line, laying the run and a half.

The Angels would be the play in Game Three if they return home down 0-2. If the series is tied 1-1 the Yankees would be the play. Should the Angels sweep the first two games in New York then they would be playable as underdogs in Game Three as they seek to take a 3-0 lead.

In the NLCS the well rested Dodgers are likely to come favorites in the first two games at home. Philadelphia would be playable in Game One if made an underdog of any price and again in Game Two if they are at least plus 120 regardless of the Game One result. The Dodgers would be playable against Colorado in Games One and Two if favored by no more than minus 140. UNDER a Total of 8 or higher would also be playable. At a Total of 7 or 7½ a Pass is recommended.

Ultimately the call is for Los Angeles to win the series in seven games and go on and face the Yankees in a matchup with even more tradition than the Cardinals vs. Yankees matchup forecast last week. Oops, again.

The Dodgers would be playable to win the series if favored by no more than minus 160. The forecast here calls for the Dodgers to defeat Colorado in no more than 6 games.

Watch next Tuesday for a brand new The 3-2 Pitch article.

Question? Comment? E-mail me at: Andy Iskoe