At Santa Anita yesterday (March 6), our selections hit the first Pick-3 for $80.60, the late Pick-4 for $1,242.60 and the late Pick-3 for $59.60. Moreover, my best bet of the day won the last race and paid $7.00 in what was a great day. I hope everyone cashed!
Santa Anita March 7
I can’t get excited about this race and will simply start an early Pick-4 and key #6 Way to Go Eddie, a 6yo maiden who is coming back with good works for a top barn. This should be the easiest field he has ever faced.
This is nutty: The morning line favorite is #2 Two Step Salsa, who just broke his maiden and is now even money in what looks like an evenly matched field. I will toss him out completely and use the other four horses in this race – if he wins he wins but he has no value to me at even money. Order of finish: 1-3-4-5
Three-year-old maidens going 11/16 is a very daunting task with horses stretching out for the first time with a few droppers to boot. I will take a shot with #2 Master Plan, who is switching back to the dirt and stretching out for his second start on the comeback trail; #5 Noble Courage showed good early speed in his first outing and could be the one to catch; #6 One Chin Again ran a good one on this track going a flat mile on Feb 11 and #7 Rosso Corsa has the looks of a horse that can run all day. Order of finish: 2-5-6-7
The capable #3 Sporties Squeeze just won on this tough 6˝ F. downhill turf course only to get DQ’d in what was a very unpopular decision by the stewards; she should get her revenge today against many of the same horses that she beat earlier. #4 Kalookan Lessie was claimed by the red hot Jerry Hollendorfer and is a must use in this spot. The Pick-4 will look like this:
Race 1: #6
Race 2: 1-3-4-5
Race 3: 2-5-6-7
Race 4: 3-4 (The cost of this ticket for a one dollar Pick-4 will be $32.)
I don’t like this race at all and will make no attempt to play a late Pick-4, but will bet an exacta, trifecta and 10˘ super box. I will use #1 Eager Lover, who is 10-1 morning line, and hope he gets in the mix to make a good payoff. Doug O’Neill has two entered here but I will use only the bottom horse, #8 Held UP, who drops into an action spot with Baze up. #7 Monk drops off a win and is either a dump or they are trying to steal one. #5 River Rebel just ran behind Monk and will track that one from start to finish. Box 1-5-7-8 in the trifecta and exacta, key 7 and 8 with 7-8 with 1-5-7-8 with all in a 10˘ super.
#2 Corvinus woke up in his last start on this surface and the 7 F. distance may suite his style. #5 A Toast to Tanner gets a huge rider upgrade from Iggy Puglisi to Gomez and is a must in this spot. #7 Brother Pegasus looks big off the drop. 2-5-7
Three of the seven in here are first time starters in the U.S.; #7 was last seen breaking her maiden at Arlington Park last June in what turned out to be a key race. In a race with so many question marks I will take a stab and use #2 Eileen's Violet, #3 Gypsy Baby, #5 Blue Rhapsody and #7 Starry Pursuit.
Let’s take a shot today and try to beat #8 Call Transfer, who looks odds-on in this spot, but I will still use him in the late Pick-3. The horse I will take a shot with is #13 Warrens Jack V, who gets in from the also-eligible list; if he improves on his first start he could be rolling late for the win with John Court in the saddle; the price is be right.
The late Pick-3 will look like this:
Race 6: 2-5-7
Race 7: 2-3-5-7
Race 8: 8-13 (This ticket will cost $24 for a one dollar pick.)
So many scratches yesterday, it could take a toll today. Let’s try a late Pick-4 to give us something to root for.
Race 5: 2-3-4-6-8
Race 6: 1-5-6
Race 7: 1-6
Race 8: 2 (This ticket for a $1 Pick-4 will cost $30.)