At Santa Anita yesterday (March 6), our selections hit the first Pick-3 for $80.60, the late Pick-4 for $1,242.60 and the late Pick-3 for $59.60. Moreover, my best bet of the day won the last race and paid $7.00 in what was a great day. I hope everyone cashed!
Santa Anita March 7
I cant get excited about this race and will simply start an early Pick-4 and key #6 Way to Go Eddie, a 6yo maiden who is coming back with good works for a top barn. This should be the easiest field he has ever faced.
This is nutty: The morning line favorite is #2 Two Step Salsa, who just broke his maiden and is now even money in what looks like an evenly matched field. I will toss him out completely and use the other four horses in this race if he wins he wins but he has no value to me at even money. Order of finish: 1-3-4-5
Three-year-old maidens going 11/16 is a very daunting task with horses stretching out for the first time with a few droppers to boot. I will take a shot with #2 Master Plan, who is switching back to the dirt and stretching out for his second start on the comeback trail; #5 Noble Courage showed good early speed in his first outing and could be the one to catch; #6 One Chin Again ran a good one on this track going a flat mile on Feb 11 and #7 Rosso Corsa has the looks of a horse that can run all day. Order of finish: 2-5-6-7
The capable #3 Sporties Squeeze just won on this tough 6½ F. downhill turf course only to get DQd in what was a very unpopular decision by the stewards; she should get her revenge today against many of the same horses that she beat earlier. #4 Kalookan Lessie was claimed by the red hot Jerry Hollendorfer and is a must use in this spot. The Pick-4 will look like this:
Race 1: #6
Race 2: 1-3-4-5
Race 3: 2-5-6-7
Race 4: 3-4 (The cost of this ticket for a one dollar Pick-4 will be $32.)
I dont like this race at all and will make no attempt to play a late Pick-4, but will bet an exacta, trifecta and 10¢ super box. I will use #1 Eager Lover, who is 10-1 morning line, and hope he gets in the mix to make a good payoff. Doug ONeill has two entered here but I will use only the bottom horse, #8 Held UP, who drops into an action spot with Baze up. #7 Monk drops off a win and is either a dump or they are trying to steal one. #5 River Rebel just ran behind Monk and will track that one from start to finish. Box 1-5-7-8 in the trifecta and exacta, key 7 and 8 with 7-8 with 1-5-7-8 with all in a 10¢ super.
#2 Corvinus woke up in his last start on this surface and the 7 F. distance may suite his style. #5 A Toast to Tanner gets a huge rider upgrade from Iggy Puglisi to Gomez and is a must in this spot. #7 Brother Pegasus looks big off the drop. 2-5-7
Three of the seven in here are first time starters in the U.S.; #7 was last seen breaking her maiden at Arlington Park last June in what turned out to be a key race. In a race with so many question marks I will take a stab and use #2 Eileen's Violet, #3 Gypsy Baby, #5 Blue Rhapsody and #7 Starry Pursuit.
Lets take a shot today and try to beat #8 Call Transfer, who looks odds-on in this spot, but I will still use him in the late Pick-3. The horse I will take a shot with is #13 Warrens Jack V, who gets in from the also-eligible list; if he improves on his first start he could be rolling late for the win with John Court in the saddle; the price is be right.
The late Pick-3 will look like this:
Race 6: 2-5-7
Race 7: 2-3-5-7
Race 8: 8-13 (This ticket will cost $24 for a one dollar pick.)
So many scratches yesterday, it could take a toll today. Lets try a late Pick-4 to give us something to root for.
Race 5: 2-3-4-6-8
Race 6: 1-5-6
Race 7: 1-6
Race 8: 2 (This ticket for a $1 Pick-4 will cost $30.)