At Santa Anita we ran 1-2-3 in the first race with the exacta paying $39.20 for a $2 ticket. The trifecta was worth $87.60 for $2. We also hit the double, but the chalk won causing the double to only bring back $19.20.
Our key horse blew in the third race, while we ran 1-2 in the fourth. In race seven, our key horse and my play of the day – Mostacolli Mort – won for fun and paid a nice $6.60. This guy was also a $$$ in our Horses to Watch column.
There are some big prep races around the country today. Here’s my view along with an
opinion on the Pick Six carryover at Santa Anita.
TAMPA BAY DOWNS
Race 12: The Tampa Bay Derby
The big horse No. 3, War Pass, will be too short to make a bet on. I suggest a trifecta using him on top for $5 with No. 5, Dynamic Wayne, No. 6, Big Truck and No. 7, Atoned – a Todd Pletcher come-backer making his first start of 2008. I will also play a $1 tri with those three on top and War Pass second. My choices: $5 Trifecta (total $30): 3 with 5-6-7 with 5-6-7; $1 Trifecta (total $6): 5-6-7 with 3 with 5-6-7.
Race 10: The Rebel Stakes
This looks like a two-horse race with No. 9, Z Fortune, a Steve Asmussen runner who was second behind Pyro in the Risen Star. We all know how Pyro came back and won his next start. Visionaire, the third place finisher in that race, came back and won his next start. It looks like Z is the one to beat. The horse with the best chance to do that is No. 8, Anak Nakal, a Nick Zito trained 3-year-old colt who bombed in his first start this year in the Fountain of Youth. The ever sharp Zito ships here so beware. My choices: Play a $10 exacta 9-8, a $5 exacta 8-9 and a $1 trifecta 8 with 9 with all for a total of $7.
This starts the Pick Six and it don’t look easy. Tread lightly as you chase that $97,494.00 carryover. I will take a shot with No. 5, Buzzin Mon, who comes back for Doug O’Neill and is bumped up in class – a good sign. He is also a healthy 15-1 on the morning line. No. 8, Red Redding, ran a winning race in his last and looks ready to pop. My choices: 5-8.
Another wide open affair, but the outside has a little advantage here. I will go with No. 9, Rateau, who just missed in both tries on this tricky 6½ turf course. No. 11, Downtown Sanger, will get the perfect trip and just may take it all the way. My choices: 9-11
No. 4, Sparky’s Precision, comes in from Turfway Park, where she broke her maiden at first asking. Now she shows her face here for trainer Lisa Lewis, who is having a productive meet. This one looks dangerous at 15-1, especially with Joey Talamo in the irons. No. 5, Love Happens, is the deserving favorite in this tough heat off of his last race, one which she changed her style and came from farther back then usual with Gomez on board. Now it will be Tyler Baze up with the big G out of town. My choices: 4-5.
The 29th running of the Pasadena looks impossible, but we’ll take a shot with No. 2, Sky Cape, who looks like the class in this mile turf race. Plus, Nakatani has ridden this guy well. No. 5, Meer Kat, fits with these and will be flying late as he hopes for a fast pace. No. 10, Rhetorically, gets the worst of the post positions, but won his last on this course going a mile and looks on his game. My choices: 2-5-10
The 71st running of the San Felipe Stakes – the third Kentucky Derby prep today – is a tough one as three morning line favorites have never been beyond 7 furlongs. I will take a stab at No. 8, Shediak, who arrives here from France with jockey Leparoux in tow and landing in the Doug O’Neill barn. At 8-1, I am on it. Play of The Day.
I like this race enough to take a shot at the trifecta. I will use No. 7, Mr Elroy, as my key horse using him first and second. He has been the chalk in all three of his starts and may have found a field he can handle. Leparoux will ride in this second leg of the late double. I’m betting he can win both legs. No. 8, Table Four Ten, is the other O’Neill charge, coming off a productive race. Though this is only his second lifetime start, look for big time improvement off the short layoff. No. 10, Draft Choice, appears to be sitting on a win and with Flores aboard will be flying late.
My choices: Box 7-8-10 in an exacta and trifecta. Key 7 with 8-10 with 1-8-9-10-11 in a $1 trifecta (total cost $10). Use 8-10 with 7 with 1-8-9-10-11 in a $1 trifecta (total cost $10).