Saber's Horse Selections for Thur., March 20, 2008

March 20, 2008 7:13 PM
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SANTA ANITA

It looks like we have a good card today, starting with a nice daily double.

Race 1

No one’s better with 2-year-olds than trainer Wesley Ward and he has two entered in this first 2 y.o. race of the year (and they are not an entry): No. 2, Dulce Maria, the likely chalk with her inside post, and No. 9, Little Yogi. No. 1, Chilliwack, is the danger as she is from Swiss Yodeler out of the Mike Harrington barn; he as made a living of late with these types. I will key on the 2 and use the 1 and 9 in several doubles.

Race 2

This is a three horse race with No. 1, Gallardo, the 6-5 morning line chalk who I will try to beat with either No. 3, Scrummage, who gets his second race off the layoff, and No. 4, Sacred Light, who ran behind Gallardo one race back and ran a winning race on Feb 27. Let’s try $10 doubles keying the 2 in race one with all three, and then make $5 doubles using the 1-2-9 in race one with the lone speed in race two, which is the No. 3.

$10 Double: No. 2 in race one to 1-3-4 in race two.

$5 Double: Nos. 1-2-9 in race one to No. 3 in race two.

Race 3

This is the start of the big pick-six carryover, but this is one of the toughest Thursday cards I’ve seen in a while. I don’t think I have enough money in my vault to play a big enough ticket that I would have a shot as I can’t find a single horse to isolate on a ticket. But, with racing luck you never know. Any of the six in here can win so I will try and cut the odds in half. No. 2, Gentle Audrey, is on the grass for the first time but her numbers as a 2 y.o. on the synthetic surface match up with these and Gomez will give her a good stalking trip. No. 1, Yasinisi, is an Irish bred and can get the distance, exits a key race (the grade 3 La Habra) and Solis should get a great trip from his rail post. No. 6, Wickednwackyingrid, is the speed and has ran back-to-back big races over this course at this distance. Selections: 1-2-6

Race 4

This is one stinky field as no one in here has run par for this type of race. The only one close is No. 8, Abbey Cat, who gets a little drop in class which could get her home, but all of her wins have come on the grass. No. 4, Inaheartbeat, broke her maiden here when it was a dirt track for 32k and is coming off a long layoff. But she could be the speed in this spot. No. 7, Kentucky Waltz, is also coming off a layoff but has a decent record on the synthetic surface. Selections: 4-7-8

Race 5

Based on numbers, No. 4, June My Love, is a standout in this race but has failed as the favorite in her last two for low profile trainer A. Marquez, who is still looking for his first win of the meet. No. 7, Chateau Suisse, ran behind June My Love and if able to improve off of that effort she could turn the tables. No. 1, Flamingo Princess, is trained by Doug O’Neill, tries turf for the first time and gets Gomez up. Selections: 1-4-7

Race 6

With the two early scratches there are 11 runners left and all of them have some kind of shot. If the speed folds it could be No. 3, Byjohn, who has the red-hot Sutherland in the irons. No. 5, Remember Boffi, gets his claiming price dropped in half as his trainer is pulling out the stops for this race. He has also won three of eight races. No. 9, Quityerbellyaching, looks to be put into an action sport by trainer Sadler and the very capable Joel Rosario get on board for what may be a winning ride. Selections: 3-5-9

Race 7

Can Barry Abrams strike again? He has No. 6, Lethal Heat, another from his main sire, Unusual Heat, whose offspring seem to love this tricky course. Lethal Heat won at first asking on this course at 22-1 after breaking slowly and looks like the one to beat in this race. No. 2, Sterling Misty, gets a drop in class and has won on this course but her inside post could be a problem. No. 9, Military Bride, won at first asking when let go at 40-1, chasing slow fractions only to storm home for the win. Sandy Shulman rarely gets a repeater but, this girl will be coming late and could be another big price. Selections: 2-6-9

Race 8

This is a race in which I will take my big shot and single No. 3, Mr. Logan. Espinoza tags along as this 4 y.o. maiden takes the biggest drop in class you can get in the maiden ranks. If all is okay he should be right there. No. 1, Danny Templeton, is the only other horse that has a shot of those who have raced. Lately, the last race has been won by first time starters and there is only one in this race – No. 12, In The Day, and Nakatani sees fit to ride. All selections have been made before late scratches so always check for late changes before betting so you can make adjustments, if necessary. If No. 3, Mr. Logan, doesn’t go, the alternates are No. 1, Danny Templeton, or No. 12, In The Day.

 

BAY MEADOWS

Race 1

We have short fields once again so let’s take a shot at the pick fours. In this race we will single the No. 1, Takin A Break, who will have some company on the front end but has proven he can run when pressured.

Race 2

In this race No. 1, Luck is Mandatory, ships in from Santa Anita and lands in the Miyadi barn; this move has been gold and Luck is Mandatory will get a great stalking trip with the hot Alvarado in the saddle. We will single the No. 1 in this race.

Race 3

With maidens going 1 1/16 on the grass for the first time, anything is possible. I will make one pick four using Nos. 2-3-5-6, and on another key No. 3, Figuratively, another shipper from Santa Anita who lands in the Miyadi barn. Single No. 3 and use group Nos. 2-3-5-6.

Race 4

This race looks wide open but I will go with No. 1, Cotati, who exits the Bamaha Breeze race. He will get a great trip and should run them down late. Selection: No. 1.

Pick fours

Race 1: 1

Race 2: 1

Race 3: 2-3-5-6

Race 4: 1

Race 5

I will go a little deep here and use the 1-3-4-6-7 in this $20k maiden claimer, reasoning that No. 7 could be a shaky short favorite on the drop off the claim. Selections: 1-3-4-6-7

Race 6

No. 2, Esoteric Thinker, drops his claiming price in half for the sneaky Jauregui as they try and steal this one. No. 3, Asteri, is just another who ships in from So Cal and this one is sent by daddy Sherman to son Steve … another golden move. Trainer Miyadi gets another in this race coming from Santa Anita – No. 6, River Rebel, – who is moving up off the claim. Selections: 2-3-6

Race 7

In this race we have yet another shipper, No. 3, Watch Me Win, who stands out on its numbers and lands Alvarado in the saddle for trainer Morey. No. 5, Wavy Lass, wants to stretch her speed from 5 ˝ furlongs to a mile and has been successful at this distance in the past, especially on a wet surface. Selections: 3-5

Race 8

It’s single time as No. 6, Illuminator, appears to have found a very soft spot as he drops in class and turns back in distance for the Hollendorfer and Baze combo. Selection: 6

Pick four:

Race 5: 1-3-4-6-7

Race 6: 2-3-6

Race 7: 3-5

Race 8: 6 (Total ticket price for a one dollar pick four is $30)