Second time starter No. 8, Sir Carson, appears to be a good bet as he moves from inside to the outside. His chances were compromised in his first start when he broke slowly and was trapped on the rail. He gets a nice jockey change with Rosario who will give him a nice stalking trip and pounce down the lane. We will play some trifectas and a Pick 3 starting with this race. In the tri’s key the No. 8 first and second with the 3-5-6 and play one tri using an all in the third spot, here is how the tickets will look.
No. 8 with 3-5-6 with 3-5-6 ($12 for a $2 tri)
Nos. 3-5-6 with 8 with 3-5-6 ($12 for a $2 tri)
No. 8 with 3-5-6 with 1-2-3-4-5-6-7 ($18 for a $1 tri)
This is a three horse race starting with No. 1, Respecttheofficer, who is double jumped in class off the Bill Spawr claim, but the rail will be no bargain. No. 2, Onefunsonofagun, drops to the level of her last win one race back and is one steady son of a gun with five of six in the money finishes – he should be right there again. Love Happens, the No. 5 horse, trained by money Mike Mitchell has blossomed since changing her style and is now coming from off the pace. Box all three in an exacta and trifecta and key No. 5 on top with the 1 and 2 in exactas; plus we will use all three in the picks and make an extra pick keying the No. 5.
Exacta box 1-2-5 ($12 total for a $2 exacta)
Trifecta box 1-2-5 ($12 total for a $2 trifecta)
Exactas key No. 5 with 1-2 ($4 for $2 exactas)
There are two key horses in this race, but I will use five on one ticket and my two key horses on another ticket, and also use my two key horses in a late Pick 4. First my two key horses: No. 8, Mt. Orient, another Mitchell trainee who has one win and one second on this tricky 6½ furlong turf course, drops into an action spot here; he will have to beat the Mullins trained No. 9, Diamond Dave, who gets Solis in the irons and should get a nice wide late run at the speed. Dave is also moved up in claiming price for this race off a loss so he must be doing well for Mullins. The other three horses are No. 1, Saxophone, who gets the hot C. Sutherland and ran right behind Diamond Dave in his last start, and if able to get a clean trip will be flying late. No. 5, Bitter Bill, is the other Mullins and adds more speed to the lineup and has won on this course last year. No. 7, Brave Sun, is moved up off a nice win on the synthetic in his first start off a layoff for trainer Holledorfer and is wheeled back in just 13 days so he must be feeling his oats. We will make a dime super box 1-5-7-8-9 for $12 and use all five in the picks starting with a Pick 3 from race four.
Race 4: 8 Race 4: 3-5-6-8 Race 4: 3-5-6-8
Race 5: 1-2-5 Race 5: 5 Race 5: 1-2-5
Race 6: 1-5-7-8-9 Race 6: 1-5-7-8-9 Race 6: 8-9
In leg three of the late Pick 4 we could make a case for several, but will use only one in the Pick 4 but a few in the Pick 3 from race five. In the Pick 4 we will single No. 1a, Cost of Freedom, and hope for no bounce as this 5 yo came off a two year absence, was bet down to the 2-1 favorite and won for fun. He has had 25 days to recoup and all systems are go. If for some reason he is a late scratch I will replace him with No. 2, Partywithlarryz, a recent Sadler trained maiden winner who looks on the upgrade. In the pick three we will also use the consistent No. 4, Scrumpy, who just missed in his last by a nostril. No. 7, Roar of Eagles, has won his first two starts and knows where the finish line is. No. 6, Austie, gets back on the synthetic after a failed try on the grass and is undefeated on this surface twice. First the Pick 3 will look like this.
Race 5: 1-2-5 Race 5: 5
Race 6: 8-9 Race 6: 1-5-7-8-9
Race 7: 1-2-4-6-7 Race 7: 1a (2 if 1a is a late scratch)
In this 50k maiden claimer there are a lot of question marks. The Doug O’Neill entry of No. 1 Texas Dolly and 1a, Chicks Rule, look like the ones to beat. The 1a could be a late scratch as she already defeated 50k maiden claimers but failed a pre-race drug test and was disqualified from all purse money. No. 2, Remember Seattle, just lost by a nose while beating Texas Dolly in her last who was a half length behind her. No. 3, Fabuloso, drops into a maiden claimer for the first time and matches up well with these on numbers. No. 4, Ditto This, gets her second start for trainer Canani, drops in claiming price and should improve. No. 5, Here Is Dj’s Buddy, ran her best race last time out and will show speed with Pedroza on board. No. 7, Book’em Babe, ran once at Hollywood in a straight maiden turf race and was up the track but she will be a different filly today and her trainer, Sise, is very good with second time starters, and at 15-1 in the morning line she is worth a little shot. No. 8 is a first time starter for the dangerous Koriner and long shot jock Olguin is in the saddle. No. 9, Party Punch, gets the best of the post positions and ran right behind Texas Dolly and Remember Seattle in her last start. So what does this add up to, well the answer is push the all button, so this is how we will play the late Pick 4.
Race 5: 1-2-5 Race 5: 5
Race 6: 8-9 Race 6: 1-5-7-8-9
Race 7: 1a Race 7: 1a-4-6-7
Race 8: all
In another ugly card, we will go for a trifecta in this race keying on No. 9, Sky Wolf, which is 7-2 in the morning line. The 7-year-old has not run since Nov. 29 at Golden Gate but all of his three turf wins have come on this course, plus his works say he is ready. He will get a good set up for his closing kick by No. 4, Vote, who will go directly to the top under Gonzo with No. 5, Speed Rouser, and No. 7, Burning Blur, on the chase. Meanwhile No. 8, Real Temptation, will be chasing not far behind the top three. Sky Wolf will be running them down late and could get there if the speed comes back to him. Our bets: Trifecta key and box and a dime super box.
Key No. 9 with 4-5-7-8 with 4-5-7-8 ($1 bet for $12 total)
4-5-7-8 with 9 with 4-5-7-8 ($1 bet for $12 total)
$1 tri box 7-8-9 for $6
Dime super box 4-5-7-8-9 for $12