Saber's Horse Selections for Fri., March 28, 2008

March 28, 2008 6:55 PM
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Yesterday’s results

One race cost us the entire ball of wax – all the rolling pick three’s and the late pick four. In race five we needed No. 5, Love Happens, who looked like the winner at the top of the stretch but went wide and was run down by Barbara’s Love. We had all the other winners including in race No. 6, in which our two key horses ran first and second – Diamond Dave won and paid a nice $9. Our single in race No. 7 – Cost of Freedom – won as advertised, and in race No. 9, the No. 7, Book’em Babe, went wire to wire and paid $33.60. If you were smart and played the late pick three you could have picked up a cool $176.90 for a one dollar bet. At Bay Meadows we had the right idea in race seven except our key horse did not fire, so let’s get back to business.

Santa Anita

Race 1

Two year olds going two furlongs: I love watching these "babies" winging down the lane! In this race you have trainer W. Solis, who is sending out three including two fillies. His main jock, Rosario, is on No. 4, Conclusive, who is the 2 yo colt in the package of three. No. 5, Seismometer, is a first timer sent out by another very dangerous trainer of 2-year-olds, Adam Kitchingman; and this one had a gate work on March 10 that says he is ready to go. Trainer Wesley Ward, who has owned these 2-year-old races of late also sends out a filly against the colts – No. 6, Deb’s Mojo – and must be respected if not for the connections alone. Let’s play an exacta and tri box in this race boxing 4-5-6 in the exacta and trifecta’s for $2 each.

Exacta box Nos. 4-5-6 ($2 ticket, $12 total)

Trifecta box Nos. 4-5-6 ($2 ticket, $12 total)

Race 2

This race has "all" written over it so I will make a pick three from race one using every entry in this race. All

Race 3

It looks like a three horse race with No. 1, Foreign, who faced winners in his last start going 1˝ miles, so she should be really legged up for this flat mile race. The No. 3, Dandy Mand, gets her second start in two years for trainer Todd Pletcher and is stretched out to a mile. No. 6 just beat Dandy Mandy and is also being stretched out to a mile by trainer Frankel. In the pick three I will single No. 1, Foreign, who has the look of a filly ready to graduate, and I will play an exacta and trifecta box with the three.

Exacta box Nos. 1-3-6 ($2 ticket, $12 total)

Exacta box Nos. 1-3-6 ($2 ticket, $12 total)

Pick three:

Race 1: 4-5-6

Race 2: 1-2-3-4-5-6

Race 3: 1 ($1 ticket, $18 total)

Race 4

The No. 2, Absolutely Smitten, looks like a short-priced winner, with her main contenders being No. 7, Dixie Jo, a first time starter from the O’Neill barn and No. 8, Lucky Mama, a Baffert dropper who blew the start in her last as the 6-5 favorite. Let’s just box all three in an exacta and then play a trifecta keying on the 2-8

Exacta box Nos. 2-7-8 ($2 ticket, $12 total)

Trifecta: 2-8 with 2-8 with all ($1 ticket, $12 total)

Race 5

This is the most wide open race of the day so we will make it short and sweet. The No. 1, Brian The Bold, just missed on this layout in his last start, and gets a great post going a flat mile. If Solis can get clear sailing down the stretch he looks like a good play at 5-1. His main danger appears to be No. 5, One On the House, who won his last on this track and at this flat mile distance and is moving up in class off that win by the hot K. Walsh. No. 8, California Flag, is lightly raced but has speed and the one he beat last time came back to score. If he can clear early he may be hard to run down. Selections: 1-5-8

Exacta box Nos. 1-5-8 ($5 ticket for $30)

Race 6

When you come up with three first-time starters, you know how bad the race is, and that’s what we have here. The 3, 5 and 6 have all been working well and are being sent out by top barns. A small late pick three will be the extent of the bet in this race. 3-5-6

Race 7

The return of Brother Derek! He is listed at 8-5 in the morning line and this is a horse that has not won since winning the Santa Anita Derby two years ago. Granted this is the cheapest he has run since breaking his maiden back when but he has never raced on a synthetic track and just may not have any win spirit left. The others at a better price are No. 2, Mast Track, who has run exclusively on the grass for Frankel but should be able to transfer his form to the synthetic and he has won three of his six starts and jockey Valdivia won for Frankel in the first race on Thursday. The other could be No. 5, Sahara Heat, who exits the Straub where he finished last but could rebound in this softer spot. Selections: 2-5

Race 8

You have to love jockey C. Sutherland on these front runners going long on the grass, and she has one here with No. 2,Heathersdaddybaby; if she clears she will be gone. No. 3, Musical High, is a come-backer for Paddy Gallagher who has run well enough in the past to warrant respect for a good trainer. No. 6, Tanzanite, ran ok in her first start the US, and drops into an action spot. Note that the horse the beat her came back to score again. We’ll use 2-3-6 in the late pick three.

Race 6: 3-5-6

Race 7: 2-5

Race 8: 2-3-6 ($2 pick three ticket for $36)

BAY MEADOWS

We will take a shot at both pick fours today in hopes of popping one and getting some extra cash for the Florida Derby on Saturday.

Race 1

No. 5, Costal Prospector, appears to have it over these and the tandem of Sherman and Alvarado has been gold – single No. 5.

Race 2

In this cheap $4k claimer we will use four horses that have some good form, 1-2-3-5

Race 3

This is another wide open, $20k maiden race; we will use another four spot, 1-3-4-5

Race 4

There are three in here with a big shot: No. 3, Gerbeca, is back at Bay Meadows, a track she likes; No. 6, Wildout, is sent here by So Cal trainer Currin, who is two for two with shippers and Alvarado is up; No. 7, Pamelot, is the likely chalk and has never run a bad race on the grass (he won his only start on this grass course). 3-6-7

Race 1: 5

Race 2: 1-2-3-5

Race 3: 1-3-4-5

Race 4: 3-6-7 ($1 pick four ticket for $48)

Race 5

In this $8k maiden claimer we will spread it out using 1-2-3-6-7.

Race 6

This is a two-horse race with the Santa Anita shipper and big drop down horse, No. 3, Time for Nine, and the Steven Miyadi runner No. 4, Utah Beach, who just failed at 3-5 in his last start here on March 6. Selections: 3-4

Race 7

This could be an "all" candidate, but we will use 3-6-7.

Race 8

Let’s single No. 7, Lockitup, who goes from inside to out and will get a jump on these, albeit at a short price. But if we are alive with some prices we will get a good payoff.

Race 5: 1-2-3-6-7

Race 6: 3-4

Race 7: 3-6-7

Race 8: 7 ($1 pick four ticket for $30)

 

Remember to check for late scratches or changes, and tune in tomorrow for the Florida Derby.