Its a good thing that there is a big Twin Q (races 5 and 8) carryover today at Station Casinos or I would probably just make one play, buy a bottle of vino, go home and relax, but I do like a few shot shots at the Bay also.
This is the first leg of the Twin Q and all I can say is this is one ugly; race but I have narrowed it down and will use a key horse in here with five others. I really dont like the one post going six furlongs but thats where the fastest horse in the race is Go Flags Go who goes from outside to inside and will have No. 2, Oldtophatandtails, right on him from start to finish. These two just might run each other into the ground or they could go around the track together, so we will play a using both. No. 5, Slews The Believer, also has some speed, takes blinkers off and gets the light weight jock Campos and could somehow get up for the place (his 0 for 20 starts is a negative, though). No. 8, Ringmaster, has gotten close a few times and is the best closer in this race and the half furlong more will be to his benefit. No. 10, Seven Below, is lightly raced and put in his best effort when running right behind Ringmaster in his last start for low profile trainer Henry Cordova. No. 11, Smart Demand, is a first time starter out of the Rafael Becerra barn and he can pop with first time starters and this jockey and trainer combo have done real well together. We will use the one and two in one Twin Q and key the big closer, No. 8, Ringmaster, in our main Twin with 1-2-5-10-11 going to race eight.
This appears to be the best bet of the day as super trainer Todd Pletcher sends out No. 9, Behindatthebar, who he thought enough of to send to Northern Cal and run in the El Camino Real Derby (grade 3). He split the field in that race despite the new surface and some trouble; he stands out in this field. No. 4, Overextended, appears to be the main danger as he once was a Kentucky Derby hopeful for trainer ONeill. His only win came here at Santa Anita on the synthetic surface at this distance. One interesting horse in this race is the No. 7, No Advantage, who won his one and only by some 16 lengths at Penn National. Trainer ONeill put together some buyers and purchased him for some big bucks. Make an exacta box and tri box using all three and make an exacta box 4-9 and key the 9 in late doubles.
$5 Exacta box: 4-7-9 for $30
$10 Exacta box 4-9 for $20
$2 Trifecta box 4-7-9 for $12
Late $2 double 9 with -3-4-7-8 (race 8) for $8
In this, the second leg of the Twin Q, No. 4, Tripped the Light, is getting her third start off the layoff which usually brings out a horses top effort, and the 6 furlong distance may be to her liking as she will get a perfect stalking trip; if able to improve any off her last she will win. No. 7, Warrens Sassy Cat, ran big in her first start, despite a slow break; if this girl doesnt bounce she could get all the money. No. 8, Classy Attraction, was a vet scratch on Feb 18 so something must have been wrong with her, but she did run big versus the boys on Jan. 14 and is a must use if she runs today. No. 11, Unforeseen, is a first time starter out of the Craig Lewis barn and hes been know to win at first asking; he gets Valdivia in the irons who has ridden well for him. No. 2, Titan Queen, has speed and ran her best race last time out but loses the bug boy, Campos. No. 9, Tuscan Princess, has run third in all four of her starts and will be coming late once again. No. 12, Groovy Lightning, retains the light weight Campos and the drop back in distance to 6 furlongs coupled with the outside post will only help her chances. I will have to key on one of these and was between No. 4 and No. 7 and have the latter. This is how we will make the play.
No. 8 keyed with 1-2-5-10-11
No. 7 keyed with 1-2-3-4-8-9-11-12 for $70
Box 3-4-7-8 for $12.00
We will put together a little pick three from races three through five. In this race, we will single No. 6, My Maloof Rocker, who is wheeled back in just six days by trainer Kitchingman.
We will play one ticket with an all and another using Nos. 1-3-5.
Trainer Miyadi sends out two in this race but his main one is the first time starter, No. 3, Tiz a Charmer, who gets the hot Alvarado in the irons. The other Miyadi in this race is No. 6, I like Blackhawks, who comes back in just six days (beware a late scratch). Well use 3-6 and single the No. 3.
$2 Pick 3 for $10:
Race 3: 6
Race 4: 1-2-3-4-5
Race 5: 3
$2 Pick 3 for $12:
Race 3: 6
Race 4: 1-3-5
Race 5: 3-6
Watch for late scratches and changes. Good luck everyone!