We had a good day – in race four we ran first and second with the $2 exacta paying $18.20; we just missed the trifecta as our other pick finished fourth. We ran first second and third in race five, with the exacta paying $44.20 for $2, and the trifecta paid $136.20 also $2. We lost race six but our lone horse in race seven won and paid $5.20. We once again ran first, second and third in the eighth with the $2 exacta paying $52.60 and the $2 trifecta paying $143.00. Our best bet in the ninth, Squallcree, was four wide on the backstretch and on the turn, came out in the stretch and continued willingly to the wire; but the wide trip did him in as he had to settle for fourth, beat only a length for all the marbles.
This is one ugly card (it doesn’t get better at Bay Meadows) so we will tread lightly and wait for some better days.
No. 1, Tough Luck, hasn’t been seen since last August at Del Mar when he showed good speed versus a tough bunch of 2yo fillies, which included Sindy Jacobson and Cupids Kitty – both of which came back to win their next races. The rail is no bargain but this girl could be live and at 8-1 in the morning line she is worth a little bet. No. 5, Ata Honour, No. 8, Dixie Jo and No. 9, Golden Volponi round out the main ones in this field.
Bet No. 1: $5 to win and place for $10
$1 exacta box 1-5-8-9 for $12
10¢ superfecta box 1-5-8-9 for $2.40
The No. 3, Billy Allen, gets back on the grass and faces easier and is still in above his claimed price. The Frankel entry of No. 1, New Export, and the No. 1a, Worchester, are the danger.
Bet $10 to win on No. 3
$5 exacta box 1-3 for $10
No. 2, Mananan McLir, might turn the tables on No. 1, Plan for Fun, who beat him one back.
Bet $20 to win and place on No. 2 for $40
$5 exacta box 1-2 for $10
$1 trifecta box 1-2-3 for $6
We will play a late double from race seven to race eight. In this race No. 5, Cee Stone, will try to win her third straight turf race on this course and is the one they will have to run down. That task is less daunting with some speed in this race. The sneaky filly in this race is No. 2, Marenka, a French import sent out by Bobby Frankel who, at one time in his career, was deadly with these typ2s. Selections: 2-5
No. 3, Adhere, is dropped in class, gets blinkers and should run big today. No. 8, Johnny Gooseberry, is a first time starter who looks live for trainer Paddy Gallagher. No. 10, Mass Appeal, drops for his second start for Mullins who is 20 percent with second time starters. Selections: 3-8-10
$5 double for $30 total:
Race 7: 2-5
Race 8: 3-8-10
Not much at the Bay, so we will take a shot the double from this race the next. In here, it looks like a one-horse proposition, but we will use two in the mix. No. 1, Sterling Emblem, is bumped back up in class after a monster run in her last race, winning by 14 lengths. No. 3, Geri Hears an Echo, tried the grass in her last start and could be legged up for this race moving back to 6 furlongs and the dirt. This trainer is 33 percent with this turf-to-dirt move and the pace could be hot and she will be coming late. Selections: 1-3
The only way to go in this race is with the Carla Gaines shipper No. 7, Scotts Spirit, who appears to have found a nice soft spot for his first try on the grass. There is no hotter trainer in California than Gaines as she has won with just about everything she has run lately. The horse is listed at 9-5 in the morning line and if we’re able to get better then even money, I would suggest dipping into the lunch money; if he is a late scratch then just dump the entire bet.
$20 double: No. 1 with No. 7
$10 double: No. 3 with No. 7
Always check for late scratches and changes.