At Keeneland, we blew our 50˘ pick four but we have live doubles going today with the 3-4-5-6-9-11-12 for $2 and we have an extra $2 double going with the 6-12. So we need to beat No. 7, Pyro, and No. 1, Cool Coal Man, for a nice ticket.
At Santa Anita we started strong as we ran first, second and third in race two and the $1 exacta pail $24.20; if you played a trifecta it paid $118 with the two Jack horses running first and second. In race three we hit our $10 exacta for a nice profit of $71. Our play in race four was a no-show and in race five we had the easy winner but could not get out other horse to hit. In race six we ran second and third and our top pick No. 5, Sayit, was beat at the wire. We blanked in the seventh and had the winner in the eighth and ninth, but out pick four was dead so let’s play today.
Race 9: 84th Running of the Toyota Blue Grass
It’s all Pyro here as he is listed at even money in the morning line, but we will have to take a shot and try to beat him as he may not be cranked up for his best as the shrewd Asmussen will want his best on Derby Day. The No. 12, Visioinaire, just may be the one as he had a great work over the surface and ran third to Pyro in the Risen Star when he may have been too close to the early pace – he will make one big late run today. No. 6, Big Truck, is really coming into this race in top form and has the looks of a 3yo that is improving with leaps and bounds for trainer Tagg; he worked a bullet here on April 8 when best of 55 going 4 gurlongs. We will take a shot with some exactas and use both Big Truck and Visioniaire on top with 1-5-7-11.
$5 exacta for $50: 6 & 12 coupled with 1-5-6-7-11-12
72nd running of The Arkansas Derby
Fourteen step fourth to try to punch their ticket for the Kentucky Derby on that first Saturday in May; this is one tough race with even the field having an outside chance. The field horse that we like is Shekinah, trained by a good one, Dallas Stewart; this guy has shown a love for this track and may be able to stalk and pounce in the stretch at a big price. Trainer Asmussen sends out the now horse No. 3, King’s Silver Son, a deep closer that will be flying late and could get there if the pace is hot. No. 6, My Pal Charlie, and No. 4, Gayego, will be flying early. No. 1, Z Fortune, is the other Asmussen in here and I like the fact that R. Albarado takes the ride. After that it’s wide open and not much would surprise me in this race. I do believe the winner will be a late runner so I will just make a few win bets and hope for the best.
$10 win on both No. 12 the field horse Shekinah (if scratched no bet)
$20 win and place on No. 4, Kings Silver Son
There appears to be a standout in the fourth race so we will try and hit a pick three. In this race, No. 4, Valley Storm, makes her first start of the year; she won on this course last April and looks set for a good try. No. 5, Mama Lula, ran behind Mark Set Go in her last and Mark Set Go came back for an easy win on Friday. No. 9, Kalookan Lessie, drops into a better spot and has a great post for this race. 4-5-9
No. 3, Tizzy’s Tune, has found a home on the synthetic surface as she has never been out of the money and has two wins and a second by a neck on this synthetic surface. She is stretched out today but has shown in the past she can get the distance. No. 4, Fleetheart, had her prep for this, is the speed and will try and take these wire to wire. 3-4
In this race the No. 4, Canyon Drive, appears set for cap and gown time unless someone gets an easy lead and wires them. 4
$2 pick three for $12:
Race 2: 4-5-9
Race 3: 3-4
Race 4: 4
No. 13 gets in from the "also" list and at 8-1 in the morning line – he is a must play. We will use him as a key in the late pick four. 13
Banner Lodge, the No. 1, gets a great post but is usually over bet; we will try and beat him but still use him in the late pick four. No. 3, Serra Song, is 12-1 in the morning line, gets back on the dirt after a failed turf try and just did get beat by Banner Lodger last November. No. 10, Informed, 8-1 will get a good stalking trip; note, his only win came at today’s distance on this course. 1-3-10
The No. 1, Afleet Ruler, ran okay in his first turf try and, if able to move forward off of that effort, will be tough, especially out of post one in this flat mile turf race. No. 12, EZ Dreamer, beat Afleet Ruler in his last but gets the worst of the draw; Solis will have to gun and get a good position. The No. 8, In Uniform, has longshot potential; this will be his first start in ’08 and his first in the US – jock Blanc will have this guy motoring late. 1-8-12
In this race the No. 2, Mr. Elroy, is dropping from the straight maiden ranks to a $32k maiden claimer and will be mighty tough on the front end. The No. 7, Letsgobyebye, may be the one flying late if Elroy folds – this one looks ready at 10-1 of the layoff for trainer Knapp. 2-7
$1 pick four for $18
Race 8: 13
Race 9: 1-3-10
Race 10: 1-8-12
Race 11: 2-7
$1 trifecta for $6: 6 with 1-9-10 with 1-9-10
$1 trifecta for $6: 1-9-10 with 6 with 1-9-10
10˘ superfecta box for $12: 1-6-9-10-11
$1 trifecta for $6: 2 with 5-7-9 with 5-7-9
$20 win on No. 4