Saber's Horse Selections for Mon., April 14, 2008

April 14, 2008 8:06 PM
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Yesterday’s results

It started great but the heat set in and the track became strange and our early winnings dried up. At Santa Anita we ran first and second in race one for an exacta of $23.60, we ran first and second in race two for and exacta of $15.20 and a double worth $20.20. In race three we had the winner; we lost the fourth, had the winner in the fifth and sixth including No. 1, Smart Hit, which paid $20.20, but it was down the drain in the last four races as the temps hit the 90’s in Arcadia.

At Bay Meadows we ran first, second and third in race one for a small trifecta of $46.80, then ran second in race two. In race three we hit a nice exacta $109.20 for two bucks. We lost the fourth and fifth, had the winner in the sixth but lost the seventh. We did have the winner in the last two races for a double of $28.60.

 

Santa Anita

Race 1

The second looks like a two horse race so we will play the early double and then shoot at the big Pick Six carryover starting in the third race, In this race there are six lined up, and two have little or no chance so we will use the remaining four and hope that one of the longer prices win. No. 1, Bala Rapida, attracts Rosario and the rail; No. 2, Probation Please, just ran behind No. 1; No. 4, Nimas Pad, gets his first start off the claim for trainer Nick Canani and he is 27% first off the claim; No. 5, Hold This, is dropped and stretched out and returns to the synthetic. 1-2-4-5

Race 2

No. 4, Remember Seattle, is moved up in class off two straight seconds but gets a longer distance, which looks perfect for his style – this could be a Rosario double. No. 5, Holladay Dixie, is dropped into the claiming ranks for the first time and is the one to run down late. 4-5

$2 double for $16:

Race 1: 1-2-4-5

Race 2: 4-5

Race 3

We will use two horses in this, the first leg of the pick six, and hope for the best. No. 7, Stand Tall, gets a huge rider upgrade with Julio Canani’s top jock, Pedroza, in the irons. All systems look go. The No. 11, Quityerbellyaching, gets a great post and Espinoza. If you would like to shorten the ticket you could single the seven. 7-11

Race 4

No. 3, Crown of Diamonds, was highly regarded as a 2yo and now makes her 3yo debut for trainer Harty off some good works; this girl looks ready. No. 4, Silent Kitten, demolished her six rivals by some seven lengths in her first try this year and first on this surface; she appears to be this good. 3-4

Race 5

In this wide open race we will have to spread a little. The No. 1, Incurable Lou, gets back on the synthetic where he just mised by a neck on March 16. No. 3,Exhale, makes his comeback and will win this race if he likes the surface. No. 7, Street Lights, is another comebacker who seems ready for a top effort for trainer Gaines. No. 9, Secret Shuttle, is two for two in his short career with both wins coming at this meet. 1-3-7-9

Race 6

It looks like trainer Drysdale may have a good prospect in the French shipper No. 2, Ksayban, and he has won with three of his last six shippers; this 3yo looks live and is 5-1 in the morning line. No. 7, Great Siege, has improved with every start and will be the one to run down in the stretch. If our pick six is dead make a win bet on No. 2, Ksayban. 2-7

Race 7

No. 4, Street Boss, loves this track and appears to be sitting on another big effort. No. 6, One Union, hasn’t been seen since last July at Hollywood Park but has the look of a horse ready to run and at 8-1 in the morning line – he could be the one that makes for a good pick six payoff! No. 8, Tropic Storm, gets a great post for his style and won at this 6 ˝ furlong distance on this track; this one looks set for a big try. 4-6-8

Race 8

I would love to take a shot with a single in this race, but I will use two. No. 7, Rail, will be a short priced favorite and I would like to pitch her but will toss her in on the drop down as she has the speed to take these wire to wire. The filly that beat her last time out is Remember Seattle, who is running in race two – if she wins, upgrade this girl’s chances. The one that looks great is the No. 14, Halo’s Clean Sheet, who gets here via Calder ,where she ran last October when she was far back after hitting the gate. She was only 11-1 in that race and the winner, Hello Poochi Pooh, came right back to repeat. So we will use both the 7 and 14 and hope we are alive going into this race.

$2 Pick Six

Race 3: 7-11

Race 4: 3-4

Race 5: 1-3-7-9

Race 6: 2-7

Race 7: 4-6-8

Race 8: 7-14

The cost of this ticket will be $384; if you want to make a smaller ticket you could single the No. 2 in race six, which would cut the price in half.

 

BAY MEADOWS

Race 1

The No. 4, In Other Words, was unlucky to lose in her last start so we will key her in the early Pick Four.

Race 2

No. 4 appears to have found a home at this level. His trainer, Jerry Hollendorfer, does not move him up in class after back to back easy wins so all must not be right – we will use him but also toss in No. 1, F J’s Appel, who ran big in his last and will be right there with No. 4, Political High, from start to finish. 1-4

Race 3

The No. 5, Honor Your Wager, drops into an action spot and looks set in this his third start off the layoff. The No. 6, Black Mallou, will be the one to catch unless the No. 2, Famego, runs with him. Famego is undefeated and two for two at the Bay. 2-5-6

Race 4

In this race we will use No. 1A (if he is a late scratch don’t use No. 1) and No. 4, Comic Review, and No. 8, Yodelay You’re Who. 1-4-8

$1 pick four for $18

Race 1: 4

Race 2: 1-4

Race 3: 2-5-6

Race 4: 1-4-8

Race 6

We will go for bombs away and try and hit the late pick three; in this race its 1-2-8.

Race 7

Go deep here using the 2-4-5-6-7-8

Race 8

It’s single time as trainer Miyadi appears to be striking while the iron is hot with No. 2, I Like Blackhawks, as he stretches him out of the maiden breaker – he is 31% with this move. He has another in here No. 6, Sportsbookjunkee, who gets back on the dirt after a failed turf try – they are not coupled so you can use both or take a shot and single the No. 2. If he is scratched use the No. 6 as a single.

$1 Pick Three ($36 if using 2 & 6 in Race 8):

Race 6: 1-2-8

Race 7: 2-4-5-6-7-8

Race 8: 2 (or 2-6)

Always check for late scratches and changes.