Horses to Watch by Richard Saber April 15, 2008

Apr 15, 2008 7:00 PM

Horses to Watch by Richard Saber | ALIGN="left">KENTUCKY DERBY

COLONEL JOHN: In the Santa Anita Derby, he displayed the tenacity that a horse needs to win in Louisville. He had good position on the inside, but lost valuable ground and seemed to have no shot running down front running Bob Black Jack. But, he moved to the outside and closed with long strides in the last furlong to get up for the win. That super effort stamps him along with Big Brown and Pyro as the ones to beat. His only drawback is running all his races on synthetic surfaces. The Derby is his first try on dirt.


CAMBRIDGE BLUE: Not been seen since finishing fifth last October at Keeneland, where he broke slow. After being between horses, he came wide into the stretch and made a nice late run to get the show dough in a race he needed.

DANCING SILKS: First time starter out of the ultra red-hot Carla Gaines barn. Was forced to come four-wide into the stretch, but made a big late run to get the place at 8-1. Could have won with a better trip. Trainer Gaines is super so you can expect this one to be ultra-tough in his next start. $$$

LIGHTEN UP RULE: Stalked the even money favorite the entire trip and turning for home the chalk looked like she was gone. However, this girl ran her down and was actually pulling away at the wire. She was claimed out of this effort by Jeff Mullins for super owner Bob Bone. It’s the first buy for these two in awhile. Look for this one to come back and repeat. $$$

KILDERRY: Broke on top, but took back and looked out of it. Managed to go five wide into the stretch and actually got up for fourth in a better than looked effort. Look for this guy to pop at a price in the very near future.

CHANGE YOUR MASK: Was in form at Bay Meadows where he finished second in a good heat. He was close up in this race, but just never got it going. Look for much improvement in his next start for new connections.

HONORED GOLD: Was last seen winning at Del Mar last August. This filly took some action in this 6½ f downhill turf sprint, but could not run down the lone speed and settled for the place. If there’s some pace to run at in her next start, she will run them down at the wire.

EXCESSIVE FUN: First-time starter broke slow, then moved up leaving the turn to make a run. Without room, he checked off heels and steadied. Did make a strong late rally to just miss in a super try.

RANSOM CAPTIVE: Looked good in here especially at 5-1. The wide trip cost her, losing a three-horse photo at the wire. This girl is sitting on a huge effort and the price may still be good. $$$

KSAR GHILANE: Was bet like a good thing and looked like it until he drifted in. Was steadied, checked off heels and lost his chance. Next time.


STARSPELL: Advanced on the inside, but lacked room and was steadied hard. Was in tight and lacked a further response. Clear sailing down the lane is all that’s needed to find the winner’s circle.

TIAGO JUNCTION: Was eight lengths behind the runaway speed in this race, but made it up down the stretch to win by a neck. This one will repeat on the move up.

LONGITUDE: This one is a don’t miss Five Star special. He shipped in from Santa Anita to run in this 1 1/16, 32k maiden. Got stuck down on the inside and had no room when full of run. Had to be steadied once again in deep stretch and clipped heels. Still, he ran fourth just missing the place by less than a length. $$$