Saber's Horse Selections for Thur., April 17, 2008

April 17, 2008 7:58 PM
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Yesterday’s Keeneland results

We lost race one and that doomed our early pick three though one of our key horses in race three won and paid $11. We started the Pick Six on the right foot as we ran first and second in race four, and we ran first, second and third in race five; so things were looking good as we won three straight races but then the horse gods began to even things out as we lost the next two races, but scored again in the eighth with Alwajeeha, who paid $11.80. In the ninth we ran second and third as a horse came flying on the outside and ran us down at the wire.

 

SANTA ANITA

Race 1

With 2yo fillies going 2 furlongs, this is a trainer’s game and the best in here is No. 4, Deb’s Mojo, trained by Wesley Ward, who popped with one yesterday at Keeneland. No. 7, Call Aly, is trained by Walther Solis and ridden by Paul Atkinson, who knows how to ride these babies and No. 9, Going Wild, trained by Adam Kitchingman, should contend. These are the main three but if playing a dime super I would toss in the No. 5, Soup Deeohdouble G, as Pedroza can pop them out of the gate for the ever dangerous Frank Monteleone. 4-5-7-9

Race 2

In his last start No. 3, Angus, had the front end all to himself but was still run down late; today he will have to contend with much more pace pressure but the best closer in here No. 4, Joy’s Comet, at 8-5 in the morning line, has been hanging badly in the stretch and most likely will be over bet, though he has three wins and five seconds from eight attempts at this distance. Pass

Race 3

If you are playing the early pick four or pick three or the rolling doubles you can take a shot and single No. 6, Behind The Screen, in this race. Trainer Mike Mitchell drops this 6yo gelding and R. Bejarano jumps on board which should all add up to a trip to the winner’s circle. This one is listed at 4-1 on the morning line but if able to get 3-1 it would be a bargain. No. 6

Race 4

The No. 7, Brendolyn, goes from the inside to the outside, gets a drop in class and gets the ultra red hot Rosario in the irons, all systems are on go for trainer John Sadler. No. 7

Race 5

Three-year-old maidens running 6 furlongs for a claiming price of $75k comprise this seven horse field, and there are none in here that would surprise as a case can be made for all seven; pass.

Race 6

Now here’s is race we can sink our teeth into. Trainer Cerin brings in the Kentucky shipper No. 2, Accopela Choir, who was last seen breaking her maiden going 1 1/16 on the poly track at Turfway Park in a $15k claimer. He brings her back in this claim-proof starter race so he must like what he has. No. 3, Lovely Olivia, is in top form while running her last three on the grass. No. 6, Concinnous, stormed home in her maiden breaker last time out and will be the one to run down in the stretch. Key No. 2 with 3-6 in the exacta and trifecta and make a three horse box in both the exacta and trifecta. 2-3-6

Race 7

The big play all meet long has been Unusual Heat offspring running on the grass for the first time, and here we have No. 4, Unusually Hot, and she fits that mold perfectly. Plus I like the fact that turf jockey Blanc takes the ride and he will be flying late. No. 8, Suziqutie, tries the grass for the first time but Bejarano gets back in the saddle and he rode her here in March for the maiden breaker. Box the 4-8 in an exacta and we will use both in the late Pick Three.

Race 8

There are six in here that look very equal and the winner will get the best trip or an easy lead and take them wire to wire. The key horse appears to be No. 8, Mixed Berries, who ran his best race at this flat mile distance and gets a rider upgrade for trainer Mike Mitchell. No. 3, Poet of Cloth, has been banging heads with Mixed Berries and just beat that foe in his last start going 1 1/16; Rosario will have this one flying down the lane but will need clear sailing to get up at the wire. Let’s key on these two horses in the late Pick Three.

$1 Pick Three for $12:

Race 6: 2-3-6

Race 7: 4-8

Race 8: 3-8

 

BAY MEADOWS

Race 1

Going against my "bettor" instinct I will play the early pick four at the Bay – in this race it’s easy as 1-2-3!

Race 2

The only reason I’m playing this Pick Four is that I believe we can beat the 8-5 chalk in this race. If so and if one of the longer prices win, we could have a nice pick. So in this five horse field we will hit the all button. 1-2-3-4-5

Race 3

This will be the first of our two singles as No. 4, Stars Promise, comes into town looking for grass and has found a spot where she can finally break her maiden; plus Baze says he will ride. We will also take a shot and play a dime superfecta in this race with a five horse box and key No. 4 in another.

10˘ super box for $12: 1-2-4-6-10

10˘ cent super for $6: key 4 with 1-2-6-10 with 1-2-6-10 with all

Race 4

There are only two in this race that appear to have a shot: they are No. 1, Blues Reason, and No. 2, Rummysecret. 1-2

$1 Pick Four for $30:

Race 1: 1-2-3

Race 2: 1-2-3-4-5

Race 3: 4

Race 4: 1-2

Race 6

Let’s take a shot with the late Pick Three and single No. 13, Mr. Chairman, who is 8-1 in this race. He has a horrible post and has not raced since October 2006, but trainer Doug O’Neill has him here for a reason and he is winning at 27% at the Bay; note he’s bringing him back in this claim proof starter allowance race. No. 13

Race 7

Trainer Miyadi has two in this race and so expect one of them to hit. He has No. 4, Charlie the Cat, a first time starter and No. 5, Bens Starry Night, who seems to be sitting on the maiden breaker. 4-5

Race 8

Three-year-old fillies going 7˝ furlongs on the grass spells longshot opportunity, so we will use an "all" here and hope we are alive going into this race and catch a big price.

$1 Pick Three for $18

Race 6: 13

Race 7: 4-5

Race 8: all nine

Check late changes and scratches, good luck.