Saber's Horse Selections for Saturday, April 19, 2008

April 19, 2008 7:27 PM
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Yesterday’s results

At Santa Anita, Lets Go Shopping must have gone shopping as she did not show up here. We had the winner in race three, Pack Your Bags, but this one got hammered at the windows and was odds-on. In the fourth, we ran first, second and third: the $2 trifecta paid $64 and the $2 exacta paid $23.20. We had the winners in the next four races and we hit the late pick four getting back $76 for our $28 dollar investment. At Bay Meadows we ran first and second in race one but was beat by a $30 longshot in race two and another one in race three. We had the winner in the fourth but our early pick four was dead. In the fifth it was another odds-on as the night was either the odds on chalk or a bomber. In the sixth we ran second, in the seventh its was another odds-on chalk as we ran first and second and had the odds on winner in the last race as we should have just went home and gone to sleep instead of banging our heads at this sorry track.

 

KEENELAND

Race 9: The Coolmore Lexington Stakes

This will be the last major race to see if some of the outsiders can earn enough money to get into the Kentucky Derby. Trainer Todd Pletcher will try to add another as he sends out No. 1, Atoned, but it could be he is just getting this one ready for a Preakness run. No. 2, Salute The Sarge, has been off the board only once and that was against War Pass in the slop in the BC Juvenile. No. 3, Samba Rooster, has speed aplenty, gets Gomez up for the connections of Lanni and Mercedes Stable who pops with a horse that looked like this a few years back; he will try and take them wire to wire. No. 5, Racecar Rhapsody, is a deep closer and ran his best races on this course as a 2yo. No. 6, Felon, moves into stakes company just a maiden win. No. 7, Behindatthebar, is the other Pletcher shipping in from Californi; this one has a very sharp work over the track and David Flores flew in for the ride – this guy looks dangerous at 12-1 in the morning line. No. 8, Tomcito, ran third in the Florida Derby and two horses have already exited that race to win their next start. This may be a little short for his best as he will need a first or second place finish to sneak into the Derby and he has never run on the polytrack. JR rides No. 10, Riley Tucker, for trainer Bill Mott and is also listed at 12-1 in the morning line. I am going to make a ten cent super box using the 1-3-5-7-10 and hope that Tomcito runs up the track.

10˘ cent super box 1-3-5-7-10 for $12

 

Santa Anita

Race 1

The No. 8, Fabuloso, gets her best chance in this week filed to get the maiden breaker. She gets a rider upgrade and a nice outside post. No. 8

Race 2

No. 1, Held Up, just missed in his last start, draws the rail and gets Bejarano in the irons and there is no Monk in this race. No. 4, Mananan McLir, will be flying down the lane making his usual late rally. No. 6, Chadington, takes a big drop in class and gets the hot Rosario. 1-4-6

Race 3

This is one of those 6˝ furlong downhill turf races for straight maidens and it seems that these unusual Heat offspring have won just about all these at the meet and there are two listed to run in this race. First time starter No. 2, Mort Robbins, and No. 7, Guts, gets a turn back in distance form a flat mile and exits a key race. 2-7

Race 4

No. 5, Synnin and Grinnin, ran a good one off the layoff and appears set for another top effort for unlucky trainer Howard Zucker, who has had 10 out of 34 starters finish second – he is do for his luck to change! No. 9, Topaz Moon, seems to be the horse to beat in here. 5-9

Race 5

No. 5, Propaganda, had a troubled trip in his last start and appears set off a .59 work on April 11. No. 7, Farleigh House, exits the same race as the five and should improve in this his second start of 08. No. 8, Cedar Mountain, comes back off a layoff but ran huge here last October. 5-7-8

Race 6

No. 2, Ricky El Corredor, drops into a good spot and at 15-1 in the morning line with Rosario up this one is a must use. No. 5, C R Caper,has speed and drops into an action spot; his speed will play well at this 5 ˝ furlong distance. The No. 8, Polish Pete, just ran behind C R Caper but gets the bug boy Campos. 2-5-8

Race 7

The 41st Running of The San Simeon is one tough nut to crack as this one is very wide open, so we will take a shot with No. 4, Unusual Suspect, a Barry Abrams Unusual Heat charge who looks very live at 10-1. No. 6, Soul City Slew, ran the best race of his life on this course and trainer Doug O’Neill looks to have this guy ready to fire a big shot, also at 10-1. No. 7, Don’t Ya Lovett, is a 9yo gelding how was just claimed for $50k and is now put into this GR3 race, wow someone knows something. No. 11, Night Chapter, is a two time winner on this course and will be flying late. 4-6-7-11

Race 8

This one looks like a two horse race with No. 3, Look Deep, who was last seen running in the GR1 LaBrea and makes her comeback with Pedroza riding for J Canani. The No. 5, Zilla, has improved in every start and looks to be the main danger. 3-5

Race 9

Trainer Paulo Lobo’s barn is firing on all cylinders and they send out No. 2, Immortelle, who has just missed in both of here starts at the meet, Rosario takes over and that alone should get this girl home. No. 5, Foxysox, and No. 8, Lavender Sky, exit the same race and could be a nice exacta and trifecta box. 2-5-8

Race 10

I was talking to legendary East Coast horse bettor Lenny "Buck" Shaw who really likes a horse in this race. Years ago Lenny was also known as "last race" Lenny so we will take note. Mr. L will be on No. 4, Stag On the Run, who gets a drop in class and a turns back in distance. He also will get the services of Clinton Potts in the saddle who is back for Oaklawn Park – this combo has struck in the last race on several occasions and at 8-1 they will be his play. No. 14, Lardog, gets a great post for this race and could pop at a nice price. The No. 1, Dancewiththedevil, is the speed on the rail and if able to clear he will be tough, but his trainer is 0 for 22 for the meet. 4-14

 

BAY MEADOWS

Looks like another day of chalk and more chalk, pass.

Always check for late scratches and changes.