Let’s beat the dead horse

Oct 12, 2004 1:53 AM

 

One of my favorite pastimes is beating a dead horse. Last week I told you you shouldn’t play deuces on your tickets. Here is one more example.

 

$100.00

_____________ = 333.33

 

.30 x $1.00

 

Let’s just imagine that our basic ticket is a $1.00 eight spot with a house percentage of 30 percent, and apply the formula above as we did last week. We can expect, in the long run that we will go broke after 333 games if our bankroll is $100.00. Therefore, we have approximately one chance in 690 of hitting a solid eight before we go bankrupt.

Now imagine that we add four 50 cent deuces to our ticket, with the traditional rationale of getting back some playing money when we hit a deuce. (We’ll hit one roughly every four games or so.) Our formula now looks like this:

 

 

$100.00

_____________ = 119.05

 

.28 x $3.00

 

 

We can expect to deplete our bankroll after 119 games on average. Therefore we will have one chance in 1933.73 of hitting a solid eight before tapping out.

Playing the straight eight without deuces gives us 2.8 times the chance of hitting a solid eight before going broke. Do you remember last week that a straight six without deuces yields about 2 1/2 times the advantage over a six and three twos? It shouldn’t be a surprise that the eight and four deuces is and even worse proposition for you, because an even higher ratio of your wager is devoted to deuces!

 

Well, I’ve whipped this horse enough. A lot of gaming writers will tell you that Keno is totally a game of luck and that there is nothing that you can do to improve your results. I have proved in the last couple of weeks that this is not true! Keno is a long odds game. The first maxim of Keno is:

1. Don’t play less than five spots ”¦ and the corollary:

1a. Don’t play deuces on your way or combination tickets.

Well, that’s it for this week. Good luck, I’ll see you in line!