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try Nebraska

Oct 12, 2004 8:23 AM

Never thought I’d live to see Nebraska lose a football game, 70-10. So congrats to me for living 50 years.

Skinny Dugans, the longtime Cornhuskers hangout in town, must have been in shock after Texas Tech put a 60-point hurting on Big Red. The Red Raiders outscored Nebraska 48-7 in the second half to easily cover the six-point spot.

Week 6 in college football was similar to previous weeks with no real edge between betting favorites and underdogs. The dogs jumped out to an early 6-2 lead, highlighted by three visiting Big Ten teams (Wisconsin, Indiana and Minnesota) each covering on the road.

However, the favorites again chipped away at the early deficit and wound up with a 25-23 edge after Hawaii’s late TD secured a 48-26 win over Nevada.

Bad beats

Kansas State had won and covered every game with Kansas going back to 1994, but the Jayhawks came away with a 31-28 win in Lawrence as a 2-point home dog.

”¡ Northern Illinois, the best in the MAC, had a 21-0 lead on Central Florida at the half and had to hold on for a 30-28 win. UCF, ranked first in the GT Dirty Dozen, had dropped its first four ATS contests.

”¡ Louisiana Lafayette made a gallant try at going 5-0 ATS with a three touchdown rally in the fourth quarter only to fall short in a 35-32 loss at New Mexico State as a 2½-point favorite. Next up: Hapless Idaho.

”¡ Rutgers scored 21 unanswered points in the fourth quarter to beat Vanderbilt, 37-34 as a 5½-point dog. But, that’s typical of Vandy.

Best in show

Here are some teams you can win with not named USC, Oklahoma, Miami and Texas.

”¡ Arizona State is 5-0 ATS heading into this week’s big matchup at Southern Cal.

”¡ Louisville brings its 4-0 ATS mark to Miami for a Thursday shootout. Syracuse has run off five straight covers since an opening game blowout loss at Purdue.

”¡ Texas A&M has a run of four entering an interesting Big XII clash with unbeaten Oklahoma State.

Scorecard

Worse than the previous week. The romp factor was a disaster. We did have UTEP in the newspaper and Army on the website, but the slump continues. The great Jimmy Vaccaro, who was 5-0 in GT, told me to pick from my gut. I agreed with him on Kentucky. Now Jimmy won’t talk to me.

Last week: 2-5; Season: 14-20-1

NCAA
Saturday, Oct. 16

Notre Dame (-6½) vs Navy: The Middies at 5-0 are off to their best start in nearly 30 years. It’s been 40 since they last defeated the Irish. The Irish escaped the last two years by seven and three points respectively. NAVY.

UCLA (+14) at Cal: Good spot for the Bruins, who have covered their last four games. The Golden Bears put everything into the USC game and could be a bit flat. UCLA.

C. Michigan (+20½) at N.Illinois: I think NIU will take care of business this week against the Chippewas. Big difference between top and bottom in the MAC. N.ILLINOIS.

Miami,O (-20) at Buffalo: Always a good idea to bet against Buffalo. The Red Hawks woke up late to post 47 and the cover last week against Kent. A no brainer. MIAMI, O.

N.Mexico (+1½) at UNLV: The Rebels have been a different team since Robinson said he was leaving. Too bad he waited until after the loss to Utah State. Brimmer and the defense forced nine fumbles. Utah exposed Lobos QB problems. UNLV.

Wyoming (+8½) at BYU: The Cowboys have run off four straight covers and have quietly become a contender in the Mountain West. We like Beck as the Cougars QB, but HC Crowton is another story. WYOMING.

Minnesota (-9) at Mich St: The Gophers have to be devastated after a second straight late fourth quarter loss to Michigan. Meanwhile, the Spartans have played much better since the loss to Notre Dame. MICH ST.

The NFL picture

Talk about the perfect ending. New England opened as a 13-point favorite over Miami and the number moved to 13½ at the Stardust at kickoff. Miami has four cracks from the 1 to cover and can’t. Too late for the field goal. Patriots win, cover and save our bacon.

Now, for the bad news.

What about those Vikings blowing a 21-point lead in the fourth quarter at Houston, only to win in overtime by six and recapture the cover. Naturally, I had the Texans on the website, along with Seattle and Arizona. That’s the kind of year it has been.

We also learned that the more Kerry Collins plays, the worse he gets. Collins gave away a certain cover on my mega-teaser (18 points) with yet another interception TD return against the Colts. You can imagine how we feel about him.

Indianapolis and New England through five weeks are the top two teams in the AFC, if not the NFL.

Now, on to Week 6.

Sunday, Oct. 17

49ers (+10) at Jets: Niners great fourth quarter comeback against Arizona changed the dynamics. Rattay and SF have something to play for. Unbeaten Jets struggled against Bills. Now, see a repeat here. 49ERS.

Steelers (+3) at Cowboys: Roethlisberger is the real deal for Pittsburgh. No reason his success shouldn’t continue against the overrated Cowboys, who were beaten up last week by Kurt Warner the red hot New York Giants. STEELERS.

Pack (PK) at Lions: Detroit has played well in every game and could really be tough at home against the inconsistent Packers. Doubtful that Favre is at 100 percent. LIONS.

Last week: 1-2

Season: 11-6-1