Women featured in next UFC card
June 16, 2015 3:07 AM
by Alan Berg
Fabricio Werdum made Cain Velasquez tap out.
I am completely stunned. My Kountermove team was completely blown up with that result.
Some say it was the altitude some say it was the octagon rust, but I couldn’t care less, Werdum deserved the win and that’s all that matters. When the rematch happens, assuming Werdum can hang on to the title (losses to Alistair Overeem, Junior Dos Santos, Andrei Arovski), I will be so curious what that betting line will be. I think Cain opens as a -180 favorite in the rematch.
It’s time to move on in the UFC as UFC Fight Night is live from Berlin, Germany but only on UFC Fight Pass. The main event features Women’s Strawweight Champion Joanna Jedrzejczyk vs. No.3 ranked Jessica Penne. This card features a lot of new blood and some prospective future stars for the UFC.
Let’s jump right to the picks for Kountermove.com.
Joanna Jedrzejczyk ($5,500): While Penne has a lot of heart, she lost a hard fought decision to former champion Carla Esparza, who was destroyed by Jedrzejczyk for the championship. The top level stuff of Jedrzejczyk will lead her to stop Penne or land so many strikes it will be hard to pass up her scoring in the fantasy game. Projection: KO3.
Diamonds in the Rough
Peter Sobotta ($4,700): Simply put Sobotta has the biggest betting line favorite, -250, outside of Jedrzejczyk’s -700. Kountermove has him as an underdog but even on paper Sobotta’s strength is getting his opponents to tap (9 of 14 wins by submission) and his opponent is UFC newcomer Steven Kennedy, who has been submitted four times. Projection: SUB2.
Magomed Mustafaev ($4,200): I always do my best to find one of the lower salaries as an option. Last week’s issue I gave out two fighters at $4,300 or less and went 1-1. Take a shot on newcomer Mustafaev, the Russian has a rep as a great striker in his home country. He has stopped seven fighters by KO/TKO, including two straight in the first round. Piotr Hallmann likes to stand but this time it will be the wrong choice. Projection: KO2.
Alan Berg has 10-plus years of experience at Las Vegas sports books and prior to moving to Las Vegas covered sports for the Bozeman Daily Chronicle. Follow him on Twitter: @vegasberserker Contact him at ABerg@GamingToday.com.