Ravens' Flacco an underrated ADP fantasy player
August 04, 2015 3:03 AM
by Alan Berg
There are a million fantasy articles out there about who you should draft but let’s talk about Average Draft Position.
Starting this week, I will give out my top four players to grab that are under the 80th overall ADP. For me, ADP might be the one stat talked about that I actually believe in.
For the novice out there, ADP is simple; it is a guide to when a player is going in most drafts. My criteria will be based on a 14-team league, PPR, Auction Draft style league. Keep in mind ADP is mainly for Snake drafts (1-14; 14-1 and so on) but can be used as a guide to where the money might go. If you see any of these for under $10 it’s grand larceny. (FantasyPros.com for rankings; Touchdowns include rushing)
Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens (No. 134): While I do think it might be Ben Roethlisberger with the crown this year at QB, Flacco will have a great season. While former Bears head coach and new Ravens offensive coordinator Marc Trestman might lack leadership to be the head man, he is a wizard with offense. See Josh McCown of 2013. Flacco is consistently underrated by fans and media alike. He had 29 TDs and only 14 turnovers in 2014; his numbers will trump that this year. Projection: 37 TDs and 15 turnovers.
Carson Palmer, Arizona Cardinals (No. 163): Palmer’s ADP is bit erratic on many websites but the jury is out, he is completely undervalued. People complain about his injuries but yet I see Sam Bradford going around 30 picks higher. Five seasons Bradford has played over 11 games twice and missed all of last year. Take shot on Palmer – he makes John Brown a household name this year. Projection: 32 TDs and 14 turnovers.
Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders (No. 167): Carr is a tough guy to figure out, but not one to sleep on this year. At worst, for next season he’s Alex Smith, but he could be late enough in your draft to be worth taking. Projection: 27 TDs, 11 turnovers.
Andy Dalton, Cincinatti Bengals (No. 156): As much as I think this guy is a stiff, Dalton is going too low. He has AJ Green, Marvin Jones coming back; he will have a solid fantasy year, but is a last resort people. Projection: 29 TDs, 19 turnovers.
Alan Berg has 10-plus years of experience at Las Vegas sports books and prior to moving to Las Vegas covered sports for the Bozeman Daily Chronicle. Follow him on Twitter: @vegasberserker Contact him at ABerg@GamingToday.com.