Titans' QB Mariota has been heating up as of late
November 05, 2016 7:35 AM
by Alan Berg
I thought for this week’s edition of the Fantasy Force it would be good do a little recap of the USFantasy season thus far and how the picks have done.
First let me explain what you will see below. I will give out prices for what happened if you took every bet from my articles thus far, a WIN cost and payout, a WIN/PLACE/SHOW, aka Across the Board, cost and payout and finally EXACTA cost and payout.
From Week 8
Andrew Luck, QB, IND: WIN $2 PAYOUT $0 WIN/PLACE/SHOW $6 PAYOUT $0; Luck with Drew Brees, QB, NO: EXACTA BOX $2 PAYOUT $0
Devonte Booker, RB, DEN: WIN $2 PAYOUT $0 WIN/PLACE/SHOW $6 PAYOUT $0; Booker with Spencer Ware, RB, KC; Jacquizz Rodgers, RB, TB; Devonta Freeman, RB, ATL: EXACTA BOX $6 PAYOUT $0
Dez Bryant, WR, DAL: WIN $2 PAYOUT $0 WIN/PLACE/SHOW $6. Bryant comes in Second (PLACE) PAYOUT $44.40
Dak Prescott, QB, DAL: WIN $2 PAYOUT $0 WIN/PLACE/SHOW $6. Prescott comes in Second (PLACE) PAYOUT $11.80
Jonathan Stewart, RB, CAR: WIN $2 PAYOUT $0 WIN/PLACE/SHOW $6. Stewart comes in Second (PLACE) PAYOUT $49.80
Week 8 Result: WIN (-$10); WIN/PLACE/SHOW ($76); EXACTA (-$8) UP $58.
From Week 7
T.Y. Hilton, WR, IND: WIN $2 PAYOUT $0 WIN/PLACE/SHOW $6 PAYOUT $13.80; Andy Dalton, QB, CIN, Derek Carr, QB, OAK, Kirk Cousins, QB, WAS with Hilton DOUBLE $3 PAYOUT $0
Jay Ajayi, RB, MIA with Spencer Ware, RB, KC: EXACTA BOX $2 EXACTA HITS! PAYOUT $52.30
LeGarrette Blount, RB, NE: WIN $2 PAYOUT $0 WIN/PLACE/SHOW $6. Blount comes in SECOND (PLACE) PAYOUT $26
Week 7 Result: WIN (-$4) WIN/PLACE/SHOW ($27.80) EXACTA ($50.30); DOUBLE (-$3) UP $71.10
From Week 6
Tom Brady, QB, NE: WIN $2 PAYOUT $0 WIN/PLACE/SHOW $6. Brady comes in Second (PLACE) PAYOUT $13.80
Lamar Miller, RB, HOU: WIN $2. Miller WINS! PAYOUT $29.40 WIN/PLACE/SHOW $6 PAYOUT $43
TJ Yeldon, RB, JAC: WIN $2 PAYOUT $0 WIN/PLACE/SHOW $6 PAYOUT $0
Aaron Rodgers, QB, GB, Matt Ryan, QB, ATL, Russell Wilson, QB, SEA: TRIFECTA $6 PAYOUT $0
Brock Osweiler, QB, HOU, Ryan Fitzpatrick, QB, NYJ to Brandon Marshall, WR, NYJ, DeAndre Hopkins, WR, HOU, Lamar Miller, RB, HOU, Will Fuller, WR, HOU DOUBLE $8 PAYOUT $0
Week 6 Result: WIN ($23.40) WIN/PLACE/SHOW ($38.80) TRIFECTA (-$6); DOUBLE (-$8) UP $48.20
From Week 5
From Week 4
Jimmy Garoppolo, QB, NE, Matthew Stafford, QB, DET: WIN $4 PAYOUT $0 WIN/PLACE/SHOW $12 PAYOUT $0 – Garoppolo scratched $8 refund.
Ezekiel Elliott, RB, DAL, Todd Gurley, RB, LA: WIN $4. Elliott WINS! PAYOUT $19.20 WIN/PLACE/SHOW $12 PAYOUT $36
Antonio Brown, WR, PIT, Odell Beckham, WR, NYG: WIN $4 PAYOUT $0 WIN/PLACE/SHOW $12. Brown comes in Second (PLACE) PAYOUT $11.40
Tyrell Williams, WR, SD, Steve Smith, WR, BAL: WIN $4 PAYOUT $0 WIN/PLACE/SHOW $6. Smith comes in Second (PLACE) PAYOUT $73
Julian Edelman, WR, NE, Kevin White, WR, CHI: WIN $4 PAYOUT $0 WIN/PLACE/SHOW $12 PAYOUT $0
Brian Hoyer, QB, CHI, Sam Bradford, QB, MIN: WIN $4 PAYOUT $0 WIN/PLACE/SHOW $12. Hoyer places Second (PLACE) PAYOUT $25.20
Matt Forte, RB, NYJ, Duke Johnson, RB, CLE: WIN $4 PAYOUT $0 WIN/PLACE/SHOW $12 PAYOUT $0
Week 4 Result: WIN (-$7.20) WIN/PLACE/SHOW ($103.60) UP $96.40
So why did we just go over the results up till this point. First off USFantasy is still an evolving product and by doing this I think we learned a few things.
Across the board (WIN/PLACE/SHOW) is the best bet on the board, it comes with the least amount of risk as example see Dez Bryant from last week a $6 collected $44.40, great return on your investment. As you saw in Week 4, we made the most money but played way too many bets ($112) winning $96.40. Stick with a few plays and don’t be afraid to play the exacta or trifectas. The money that can be made from those bets, some exactas near $1K for $2, outweighs the risks just don’t get carried away. Stick to the across the board.
Finally let’s list a couple plays this week:
Marcus Mariota, QB, TEN (99-1): Mariota has been heating up as of late, some of that has to do with the defensive talent he’s seen some I believe is of his making. While he is not the typical gunslinger, I think he has success this week against San Diego and will be a nice price if he hits the board.
DeMarco Murray, RB, TEN (17-1): As a way to back up the ambitious Mariota play let’s take his running back Murray. DeMarco has completely bounced back from the disaster in Philly, he was a little banged up which could lead to Derrick Henry taking some work, I still feel confident in DeMarco.
Brandon Cooks, WR, NO and Kelvin Benjamin, WR, CAR with Cooks, Benjamin, Brandon Marshall, WR, NYJ, Antonio Brown, WR, PIT, Dez Bryant, WR, DAL: EXACTA BOX. So let’s get crazy with this one it’s a $12 bet. Basically we have Cooks and Benjamin to finish first or second, while the other three must come first or second with them. Should look like this on your ticket: $1 EXACTA BOX 3,9 with 2-4,6,9 $12. If you got that hopefully they come in.