USFantasy NFL exacta pays over 608-1
December 13, 2016 3:09 AM
by Alan Berg
Wow – $2 to win $1,217.40! That’s just over 608-1, but that is what the EXACTA paid in USFantasy Prop No. 1 this past Sunday.
Colts quarterback Andrew Luck and Broncos quarterback Trevor Siemian finished first and second, respectively, for the massive payout. Even the PLACE price for Siemian was a monster at $52.60 for $2.
Another great exacta in Prop No. 2 – Colts WR T.Y. Hilton and Broncos WR Demaryius Thomas (see the pattern) cashed a $530.40 EXACTA for $2.
As the season starts to wrap up we gotta make the most of the time left for USFantasy NFL. So why not try a couple $1 tickets for the Million Dollar Seven!
Obviously this isn’t the easiest bet to cash, but it’s $1 for $1,000,000, ladies and gentlemen. Let me explain how to bet to improve your chances.
The Million Dollar Seven is basically a Pick 7 in horse racing. You must pick the winner in seven straight props. For this week, that is Prop No. 1 Quarterbacks, Prop No. 2 Receivers, Prop No. 3 Running Backs, Prop No. 4 Receivers, Prop No. 5 Receivers, Prop No. 6 Quarterbacks and Prop No. 7 Running Backs.
Now you could theoretically hit each leg by making the correct selection in every race with only one pick. However, let’s say you can’t see the future and need to make more than one choice, but how much does it cost?
A Pick 7 with multiple selections is a math problem. Let’s say you want to pick three players for each category. Prop No. 1 (Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees, Eli Manning), Prop No. 2 (Golden Tate, Doug Baldwin, Julio Jones) and three more in each category the rest of the way would look like this: 3 x 3 x 3 x 3 x 3 x 3 x 3 = $2,187. Yikes! So you can see how expensive each added player will make the ticket. Essentially, that means you have 2,187 straight Pick 7’s (aka one player in each Prop as a Pick 7).
So how do we make this a much more reasonable amount? With a shot at $1M, pricing the ticket between $15-30 is what we should aim for.
To understand the math of the bet let’s add one player, say Rodgers, with Brees in Prop No. 1 and the rest straight: 2 x 1 x 1 x 1 x 1 x 1 x 1 = $2. Changing to two players in the last leg (Prop No. 7): 2 x 1 x 1 x 1 x 1 x 1 x 2 = $4. You can see how each change makes the ticket more expensive. Here are the two ways I recommend:
Prop No. 1 QB (1 choice); Prop No. 2 Receivers (2); Prop No. 3 RB (1); Prop No. 4 Receivers (2); Prop No. 5 Receivers (3); Prop No. 6 QB (2); Prop No. 7 RB (1); total bet is $24. My theory is the receiver category is the hardest prop; you need the QB to target them and they have do something with the ball. If you want to add one more player you will make the ticket $48. I would choose to take a single to a double.
Good luck and if you win a million using my advice, I do take cash and gifts. Ha, ha. Here’s my regular picks for the weekend:
Last Week: 1-2 (1 pending)
Rams-Seahawks OV 38: With Jeff Fisher finally getting the ax in L.A. we will see if the Rams can mix things up enough offensively. Regardless they either hang with Seattle in a 28-14 type of battle or it’s a 41-3 type Seahawks massacre.
Bucs-Cowboys OV 46: With the Giants loss brewing for the Boys and the Bucs coming off one of the worst offensive performances of the season, bombs away.
SPREAD OF THE WEEK: Chiefs -5.5. Just don’t see how the Titans stay within a touchdown in this game.