NFL Playoffs are here so expect Eli's best
January 03, 2017 3:05 AM
by Alan Berg
Well it was an interesting betting weekend for me. I took advantage of Amanda Nunes to win in Round 1 vs. Ronda Rousey at 5-1 thanks to USFantasy. Then I followed that up with a 3’s and 4’s round robin, and if the Saints had comeback against the Falcons I would have hit the whole thing for a huge score. Alas, down 38-13, the Saints fell short 38-32 as their last onside kick attempt was not recovered by New Orleans.
Regardless, it was a great way to kick off 2017.
Speaking of USFantasy, keep an eye on the props they are sure to release for this weekend’s wild card games. My guess is they will have margin of victory for each game, which could lead to some nice payouts. For example, Kansas City by 7-13 over San Diego paid $7.40 per $2 wagered; Denver by 14-20 over Oakland paid $15 to $2 and Green Bay by 7-13 over Detroit paid $11 for $2.
Here are some players to keep an eye on for USFantasy wagering this weekend:
Eli Manning, NYG: This is the time of year Eli Manning shines, 8-3 lifetime, averaging 107.45 Quarterback Rating in his last four playoff games. Meanwhile the Packers defense has been shredded by quarterbacks this season allowing 32 TDS (average two per game) and is near the top of the league in passing yards allowed.
Russell Wilson, SEA: Wilson is never a favorite among people when it comes to QB stats, however he has won a USFantasy contest and taken second in the past seven weeks. He gets Detroit, who has allowed 34 quarterback TDs, and the Lions have allowed the highest QB rating in the NFL. He should have good value against heavy hitters like Aaron Rodgers and Ben Roethlisberger.
Latavius Murray, OAK: Running back matchups in the Wild Card rounds are not pretty and honestly I would take a shot on anyone over 20-1. But to give you some players to target let’s go with Murray, who has a decent but not great matchup against Houston. The Texans D is middle of the pack in allowing touchdowns to running backs at 14. Murray looks to be in a timeshare but coaches get extra conservative in the playoffs so coach Jack Del Rio might lean toward the veteran more in this game.
Jay Ajayi, MIA: Hopefully you can get this guy at over 25-1 because it’s going to be tough in Pittsburgh. The Steelers have given up 19 rushing TDs this season and he did shred the Steel Curtain for 204 yards and 2TDs back in October. But this is playoff time, beware. Again look for value outside of these players in the 20-1 or higher range.
Antonio Brown, PIT: Someone has to do the damage against Miami and with Le’Veon Bell in a below average running back matchup it might be Brown who puts Pittsburgh over the top. Frankly, Brown is nearly impossible to stop against great pass Ds so you should be safe using him.
Doug Baldwin, SEA: As I said above, Wilson has a great matchup so why wouldn’t the No. 1 WR take part. Baldwin is always capable of big plays and being at home should lead him to at least one TD if not more this weekend.
Jimmy Graham SEA: Seeing a Seahawks pattern here against the Lions, who have allowed 10 TDs to the tight end as well as 92 catches (nearly six catches a game!). That should lead Pete Carroll to at least put in a few extra looks for Graham, especially in the redzone.
LaDarius Green, PIT: Green is coming off a concussion so he’s a risk but the Dolphins are another team that struggles against the TE. If he’s in a matchup against some big WR names take a shot. It’s possible he won’t be listed in a matchup however.