Wow, the race at Talladega SuperSpeedway on Sunday really shook up the standings as over half the field wrecked, including Las Vegan Kyle Busch – one of the favorites to win the championship – who now has to almost win this week at Kansas Speedway in order to advance to the Round of Eight in NASCAR’s Playoffs.
Kansas Speedway is a 1.5-mile cookie cutter layout with moderate banking and will be the ninth of 11 races on those type this season. This will be the second time this season they’ve raced at Kansas, the first coming in May won by Martin Truex Jr., who also led the most laps.
This dude is almost unbeatable on these type of tracks this season. He’s won five of the eight races on 1.5’s, including the last three. The last race on this type of track was at Charlotte two weeks ago, which Truex won.
It’s hard to make a case for anyone but Truex to win this week, which is why he’s going to be a short favorite. Think of a price like Clayton Kershaw going against a rookie on the Marlins. That’s what Truex is going to be this week. Yes, he’s the Cy Young of NASCAR on 1.5’s. There are 39 other drivers, but no team has these tracks figured like the No. 78 squad.
If looking at past history, you’ll see Jimmie Johnson has won three times and Kevin Harvick, Matt Kenseth and Joey Logano have each won twice. Kenseth is the active leader with 774 laps led during his 23 career starts. He’s started every race at Kansas since the track opened in 2001. His last win came in 2013.
The best long shot of the race is probably Ryan Blaney who finished fourth there in May leading 83 laps. He also finished fifth there last season. But the entire problem with trying a long shot is Truex is just so far superior to anyone.
Great, I take Blaney at 25-to-1, he leads some laps, I get my hopes up of cashing and Truex takes over at the end. This Truex guy is taking all the fun out of betting NASCAR.
I can’t bet a driver at 5-to-2 odds to win a car race, but at the same time I have a hard time betting anyone else.