Just like the players, get into shape!
The "Boys of Summer" get into action on Tuesday March 2 as exhibition baseball gets underway. We will take this opportunity to pass on some valuable betting tips and strategies for the upcoming regular season, which will be upon us before the last basket is dunked.
So cut these out and save them, put them in your notebook and most important keep track of all your plays.
Betting Tip #1
Try and bet more first five-inning games this year as there will be some good value, especially early in the season when starting pitchers may go five or six innings after which you will be at the mercy of the bull pen. So if you like a top flight pitcher, you can lay less than -200 bet the first five innings.
Betting Tip #2
Try and find home dogs with good pitchers and make either a straight bet on them or take +1½ runs; you will find this a very profitable bet in the long run and remember, make columns of these plays and keep track to see how you are doing.
Betting Tip #3
NEVER and I mean never bet on a team/pitcher laying -200 or more. Whenever you see -200 or higher on a team, make a straight bet and take the +1½ runs on the dog, you will be very surprised with the results.
Laying -200 or higher is like betting on even money horses and lower, in the long run it will be a losing proposition, so we will dog our way to a winning season.
We will have more betting tips as we get closer to opening day and we will keep track on how these betting tips are doing; but now on to more baseball stuff in my stack.
Let’s take a little look at the Seattle Mariners: a one and a two … no, it’s not Lawrence Welk, it’s the Seattle Mariners adding Cliff Lee to go with King Felix Hernandez giving them the best 1-2 starting pitchers in baseball. The leadoff positions are solid with Chone Figgins and Ichiro batting 1-2 and they recently resigned Eric Bedard, a better than average lefty who could give them a solid third starter.
The main problem as I see it is that they don’t have anyone to drive them in. Signing Ryan Garko, a free agent from the Indians, is not the answer. Expect a lot of close and low scoring games in Seattle with the Mariners eking out those one run wins.
There will be a lot of unders and the dogs getting the money with the +1½ runs. If Seattle can find an RBI man or two the Angels’ dominance of the AL West could be coming to an end. Last year the Mariners were 85-77, this year look for that win total to be higher and look for the playoffs to be in Seattle.
In the early off shore betting I notice they had the total wins 79½ and that looks like a gift. So as soon as you see lines bet the Mariners to win the AL West and bet OVER total wins.
Cleveland Indians: speaking about the "tribe" last year the Indians finished 65-97, look for more of the same this year. The rotation includes Fausto Carmona, Jake Westbrook, Aaron Laffey, David Huff and Justin Masterson; these are definitely not household names. Kerry Wood (if he can stay off the injured list) can be a reliable closer. Bright spots in the everyday lineup include Grady Sizemore (if he is healthy) who could be a sneaky player for your fantasy team. Asdrubal Cabrera at shortstop, but the rest of the lineup is pretty shaky at best.
Matt LaPorta came over from the Brewers in the CC Sabathia trade and at the time he was the Brewers’ Number 1 prospect. The front office remains intact which accounts for the decision to fire last year’s manager and hire Manny Acta, who was released as manager of the Nationals, who lost 103 games last year.
The Indians continue to make many questionable decisions that have brought them from being a playoff team a few years ago to a cellar dweller. They are the perfect example of why revenue sharing is a big failure. You can give a team money but that doesn’t mean they will make good use of it. The bet is under season win.
In horse racing the week was slow for Kentucky Derby preps as the main one, the Sham Stakes at Santa Anita, was rained out. If you are a horse player and looking for a good deal Station Casinos is giving double points for all bets in the month of March, The Broiler here I come so Zack get your pen ready.
Question? Comment? E-mail me at: Richard Saber