UFC 131: No Lesnar won’t hurt card, Shane Carwin steps in

Jun 7, 2011 3:08 AM

This Saturday marks the third straight week the UFC has put on an event and second on pay-per-view.

UFC 131 was originally supposed to be the coaches from TUF 13 squaring off for their chance to fight Cain Velasquez for the heavyweight title. However Brock Lesnar had to pull out with the sickness that kept him out for over a year in 2009.

Shane Carwin steps in for what should still be a great fight.

Carwin vs. Junior Dos Santos: A clash of styles standing. Dos Santos is known for his great boxing, combining speed, technique and solid power against Carwin’s one punch power, reach and solid chin. The wild card will be Carwin’s great wrestling versus Dos Santos’ supposedly good ground game.

We still have not seen Dos Santos use that ground game. Dos Santos’ speed is going to give Carwin a lot of trouble in the standup, although Shane just needs to land one punch to end this fight. Training with Greg Jackson I expect Carwin to take this fight to the ground and try to pound out Dos Santos. Carwin by TKO in 1.

Kenny Florian vs. Diego Nunes: This is Florian’s tune up fight for his featherweight debut. Nunes doesn’t possess the strong wrestling that has hindered Florian’s runs at the titles in higher weight classes. I think Kenny, a very technical fighter, will excel at this weight. Although a serviceable fighter, -260 just isn’t high enough. Florian by decision.

Dave Herman vs. Jon Olav Einemo: Two exciting heavyweights make their UFC debuts on the main card. Einemo will try and drag this fight to the ground and use his world class ground game against Herman’s behemoth power on the feet. Einemo’s reach will at some point force a trip or takedown. The odds don’t tell the story with Einemo around +200. Einemo via submission in 1.

Demian Maia vs. Mark Munoz: Almost impossible to break down. Maia has the best jiu jitsu in the world. Munoz has improving standup and excellent wrestling. It will be very hard for Maia to get a great wrestler like Munoz down. Munoz needs to abandon his wrestling and beat Maia up on the feet. The odds are very close at +105 on Maia and reflect how this fight will play out. Maia by submission in 2.

Donald Cerrone vs. Vagner Rocha: Sometimes Cerrone doesn’t stick to a game plan but should be able to dispose of Rocha, who took the fight on short notice. It’s possible -400 doesn’t show the disparity between the fighters. Definitely throw him into your parlay. Cerrone by whatever he wants.

130 recap:

The UFC turned in one of its best cards of the year last weekend at the Palms. Tony Ferguson got crowned after 12 weeks on the reality show and Clay Guida rose to the top of the lightweight division.