Condit makes UFC return after injury
May 30, 2015 3:01 AM
by Alan Berg
Carlos Condit makes his return after over a year away from the octagon against Thiago Alves on Fox Sports 1 UFC Fight Night from Goiania, Brazil.
Condit is still ranked the No.4 welterweight contender in the world despite the long layoff. Condit lost his last fight due to a knee injury caused on a takedown from Tyron Woodley. Condit’s only other losses in the past six years came at the hands of Georges St. Pierre and Johny Hendricks, the top tier of the division.
For Alves this is a chance to prove he is still a player at welterweight. He is 4-4 over the last six years but has one two straight since tapping out to Martin Kampmann. Kampmann beat Condit via split decision back in 2009 but was knocked out in the rematch in 2013.
This is actually an intriguing matchup, Alves does have a lot of skill but his big strength is in his hands. This doesn’t play well against Condit who is a solid standup fighter who has only lost by KO due to the injury against Woodley. Condit has also not been stopped in almost a decade when he didn’t have the experience he has now. He also knows a win over Alves is a huge stepping stone toward another title shot.
Here are the picks for Kountemove.com as usual please check salaries if using another site:
Carlos Condit ($5,500) – As mentioned above this fight is too important for Condit to keep his top 5 standing in the division; his only worry should be fighting on Alves’ home turf of Brazil. Because of that he should look to dominate each round and go for a submission. He gets it late. Projection: SUB5.
Diamonds in the Rough
Mirsad Bektic ($4,700) – Bektic is a -450 o -500 betting favorite and has a fantastic price on Kountermove. He is undefeated at 9-0 and is coming off a complete domination of Paul Redmond (34 strikes to 2; 2 takedowns to 0; 13 passes to 0.) Lucas Martins is coming off a split decision loss to Darren Elkins and Bektic makes it two losses in a row for the home countryman. Projection: UD3.
Nicolas Dalby ($4,800) – We stick with the betting line trend here for another undervalued fighter. Dalby comes in with another perfect record 13-0 but also takes on a home countryman in Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos. This is the first fight in the UFC for both men. Dalby’s kicks should make this a tough night for Zaleski and I think he gets caught. Projection: KO2.
Alan Berg has 10-plus years of experience at Las Vegas sports books and prior to moving to Las Vegas covered sports for the Bozeman Daily Chronicle. Follow him on Twitter: @vegasberserker Contact him at ABerg@GamingToday.com.