Rookie errors can resurface in veteran bettors
May 24, 2016 3:10 AM
by Alan Berg
What is it about sports betting where even experienced veterans can still make rookie mistakes? I was a victim of one of the classic Las Vegas sports blunders and fact is I should know better.
Call it Rule 43: Never change your mind at the window.
Truthfully, I never actually changed it at the window but as I was sitting there finalizing my bet with my two totals picked out, after about 20 minutes I decided to believe I was clever. I thought I found a sneaky OVER to nab. Instead, I was a joker switching out a winning wager on my two-teamer for a losing pick.
I would compare it to having a guy wide open in the end zone and lofting the ball way too much to watch the safety recover and intercept it, ending the game.
Moral of my story: don’t lose your focus and remember the rules the game has taught you. After all, it’s your money you are playing with.
Last Week: 4-1
2016 Season: 48-38-9.
Mariners-A’s OV 7.5: Seattle is on a tear, having swept the Reds on the road, en route to the best road record in MLB at 18-7. The Mariners actually have a losing home record start thanks to Oakland’s three game sweep in Safeco to open the season in Seattle. Point is the M’s are hitting and the A’s won’t be scared.
Phillies-Tigers OV 8.5: Two teams that don’t exactly have lights out bullpens. I feel pretty comfortable with this total going over.
Rockies-Red Sox OV 8.5: I have picked on Red Sox pitcher David Price a few times this season, and with a lineup full of bats he rarely sees, he should help this one fly over.
Arena Football – Predators-Storm OV: Again, it’s too far away to have an idea of the opening number. I will be comfortable betting the over provided it doesn’t go much higher than 120-124.
UFC Fight Night 88 – Jeremy Stephens-Renan Barao OV 2.5: Barao is coming off back-to-back losses to former UFC Bantamweight Champion T.J. Dillashaw, those fights bookend a tuneup victory over Mitch Gagnon. Stephens is one of those guys who just can’t get the big win. I do think he is crafty enough to hang with Barao and take this one to the judges’ cards.
Alan Berg has 10-plus years of experience at Las Vegas sports books and prior to moving to Las Vegas covered sports for the Bozeman Daily Chronicle. Twitter: @vegasberserker Email: AlanBerg@GamingToday.com