Girvin latest upset in hot summer
August 01, 2017 3:05 AM
by Steve Davidowitz
In addition to Girvin’s dramatic nose victory (a modest 95 Beyer rating) over McCraken in the $1 million Haskell at Monmouth Park on Sunday, Saratoga and Del Mar certainly have produced more than their share of upsets during their first two weeks.
The upsets at both tracks have occurred mostly – but not exclusively – in stakes. And, to show readers just how wild the results have been consider the listings below.
At Del Mar
On the July 19, opening day card, attentive horseplayers might have gotten the hint early enough to avoid quick trips to the ATM machines. For example, in the Oceanside stakes Arms Runner finished far back in seventh at 8-5 odds. On July 20, favored Speakers finished next to last in a maiden race before 17-1 shot Mama’s Kid; 11-1 Snow Cloud and 7-1 MidnightSummer scored consecutive upsets.
On July 21, heavily favored Mrs. McDougal could only manage to finish third in the Osunitas; while on July 22, Ashleylovessugar, was defeated as the 7-10 betting favorite. A bit later, 1-20 betting favorite Arrogate failed to finish in the money in the San Diego Handicap, won by Accelerate.
On July 23, Vyjack was defeated at 6-5 in the Wicker Stakes a few races before 21-1 shot Miss Dancealot upset the Grade-2 San Clemente.
On Wednesday, July 26 through Friday July 28, Del Mar seemed slightly more in form. Yet, Curlin Road scored at 9-1 in the G-3 Cougar on Wednesday, before four longshots won races on Thursday, July 27. On Friday, July 28, Mr. Hine, continued the upset trend in Del Mar stakes, defeating even-money favorite Ann Arbor Eddie in the Real Good Deal.
On Saturday, July 29 there were four upset winners at 9-1 through 15-1 in addition to the loss suffered by 4-5 shot He Will in the California Dreaming Stakes and Ransom the Moon’s upset victory in the Bing Crosby. On Sunday, July 30 favored Stellar Wind did score a hard fought win over Vale Dori in the Grade-1 Clement Hirsch; but, that result was sandwiched between a trio of longshot winners and defeats suffered by favorites Sally Simpson and Painting Corners.
On July 21, opening day, 6-1 shot Buffalo Miss narrowly defeated 38-1 Tiffanys Freud, as favored Some Kinda Crazy finished out of the money. In the very next race, 7-1 shot Mugtaser posted another upset. Yet, that hardly was the end of the opening day longshot trend. First, Dream It Is upset the Schuylerville stakes for 2-year-old fillies and then longshots Proctor’s Lodge and Joyful Joyful won the 9th and 10th races respectively, the latter at 18-1!
On Saturday, July 22 favored Lady Eli did win the Grade-1 Diana; but, we also saw 9-10 betting favorite Machismo finish seventh in a maiden race before Firenze Fire won the Sanford for 2-year-olds at 12-1. Then Glorious Empire scored still another upset in the day’s finale.
On July 23, favored Abel Tasman won the Grade-1 Coaching Club American Oaks at 4-5, before Sommerset Sandy and Ginger N Rye scored at 21-1 and 11-1 respectively. Major Force then added still another double digit upset score.
Are you ready for this? On Monday, July 24 the suitably named Perplexed scored at 115-1! This was followed by the upset of 9-5 favorite Tiznoble, amidt a trio of winning favorites that preceded two more heavily-bet losers and an 11-1 shot scoring in the day’s finale race.
July 26-30, several betting favorites did win, but among the upset trends being cited here, 28-1 shot Swansea Miss won the opener on July 26, while Celtic Chaos upset the John Morrissey on July 27 and 16-1 shot Hunter O’Riley scored in the Grade-2 Bowling Green the following day.
On Saturday, July 29 we saw both Kentucky Derby winner Always Dreaming and Preakness winner Cloud Computing finish third and fifth in the $600K Jim Dandy stakes, as Good Samaritan scored an important upset in his first race on a dirt track. On Sunday, July 30 form stabilized a bit more, but not without Docs Legacy winning at 31-1 in a 1-1/8 mile route race and $1-1 favorite Syndegaard finishing up the track in a sprint for 2-year-olds.
Added Notes: To get a line on the quality on display at both tracks, here, courtesy of Andy Beyer, are the top Beyer Speed Figures earned so far: El Deal scored a terrific 112 Figure winning the Vanderbilt Stakes; Accelerate earned a 109 in the San Diego, as Mr. Crow also earned a 109, best 3-year-old Figure in 2017. Amsterdam winner Coal Front and allowance winner Takaful each earned 105; Hunter O’Riley earned 104 for his Bowling Green triumph, while both Lady Eli at Saratoga and Ransom the Moon at Del Mar earned 102. For his Jim Dandy upset, Good Samaritan was given a 100; Dream It Is earned an 89, tops by a 2-year-old so far.