What a fun summer it has been betting baseball. I can’t believe the All Star break is here already.
You can bet into a 10-cent line and, if sharp and you have the ability to shop, it’s possible to reduce the house’s edge to where there’s no vigorish.
I like betting “dogs” at pluses long term as well as the first five innings of a game, if looking at a questionable bullpen. That’s right, I am calling out Detroit.
The Tigers’ middle relievers and bullpen in general have been a joke. I respect my money too much to ever bet this team for an entire game. I can pinpoint two specific reasons – no dependable bullpen and not trusting Jim Leyland to actually have to manage or make decisions late in a game.
I have made very good money betting the Tigers for the first five innings. In other words, the starting pitcher’s interest is mine. He is not the pitcher of record unless he goes five innings. It is not a coincidence the Tigers have been the best in baseball in betting the first five innings.
I can’t tell you how many times the box score shows the Tigers bullpen blew another win for the starting pitcher. It actually works both ways. If you like a team and starting pitcher, knowing the opposing team has a weak bullpen while yours is strong, why not bet the entire game?
I would much prefer to tie up my money for five innings as opposed to the entire game, but there are a few exceptions.
For the sixth time, the St. Louis Cardinals have the best record in baseball going into the All Star break. Of those six, five times they have gone to the World Series. I don’t see it happening this year.
I respect what they have done up to this point but feel the Braves, Pirates and Dodgers will have something to say about things the rest of the way. Atlanta has been world beaters at home going 31-15 so far.
The Pirates have the second best record. Never saw that coming. The Dodgers have been playing much better ball and are within 2½ games of first place Arizona in the NL West.
The Angels continue to be an embarrassment. Are you kidding me? This team is 11 games out of first place in the AL West. Why does Mike Scioscia get a pass? What has this team done since 2003? I realize he is a media darling but this team is a fraud.
A number of teams are riding the UNDER wave at the break. The Rockies and Dodgers have gone UNDER four straight games while the A’s and Rays have done it six consecutive times. The Pirates have slid UNDER in their last eight.
No team is riding an OVER streak of more than three right now. For the season, a couple of teams have been outstanding going OVER, like the Tigers and the surprising Padres clocking in with 51 each.
Four teams have exceeded 50 UNDERS – Royals (51), Yankees (51), Pirates (53), Rangers (55).
Football will be here before you know it. I can’t wait. I am doing my “How to make money betting football” seminar in Las Vegas on the Strip at Harrah’s Hotel/Casino on Friday Sept. 6. from 9 a.m. to 5 p.m.
I will be joined by fellow professional sports bettor and friend “Dink” who was played by Bruce Willis in the sports betting movie “Lay the Favorite.: Go to: http://pritchardspicks.com/live-events/ and save $200 if you sign up by Aug. 20.
Hope to see you there in time for opening weekend for NFL.
Check out Scott’s sports betting show The Odds Couple on AM 1400 radio daily when it resumes in August. It is broadcast LIVE and worldwide on Vegas Video Network. For free daily plays, check out my site: www.PritchardsPicks.com. Contact him at [email protected].