Take 903 Atlanta Braves / 904 New York Mets OVER 7.5
The Mets look to move a step or two closer to their first division title in nine years when they host the Atlanta Braves. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. PT at Citi Field where Bartolo Colon (-210) will toe the rubber for New York vs. Atlanta’s William Perez (+185).
Despite suffering a 6-2 loss to the Braves on Tuesday, the Mets lead the second-place Nationals by 6.5 games with 11 left in the regular season. Their magic number to clinch is 5.
In an amazing statistical split, Colon (14-12, 4.15) is 1-10 against every team outside the NL East but is 13-2 with a 2.65 ERA in 15 turns against division opponents. In his last eight appearances he’s 4-1 with a 2.50 ERA during that stretch. Colon’s been especially tough on the Braves going 8-2 for his career with a 2.55 ERA. He’s 4-0 against them this season.
Perez (6-6, 5.16 ERA) takes the ball Wednesday for Atlanta, which has won four of its last five games but is just 8-27 in its last 35. Despite his less than impressive numbers, Perez has pitched well of late going 2-0 with a 2.89 ERA in his last three starts. He’s 1-0 with a save in three career appearances against New York.
The Braves are 12-40 in their last 52 road games and 15-42 in the past 57 overall. The Mets are 36-17 in their last 53 games and a sparkling 48-28 at home. The OVER is 13-5 in the last 18 series meetings.