Value with MLB pitchers below superstar level

May 24, 2016 3:05 AM

While the public is perceived to love betting big ace favorites such as Chris Sale, Clayton Kershaw and Jake Arrieta, some even-money and underdog pitchers are bringing home nearly similar profits to backers so far this season.

Jeremy Hellickson, of the Phillies, Wade Miley, of the Mariners, Mat Latos, of the White Sox and Michael Fullmer, of the Tigers, all have turned a tidy profit despite having ERAs pushing 4.00 or higher.

Meanwhile, baseball’s biggest losers so far (using a $100 per unit measure) have been Phil Hughes, of the Twins, Luis Severino, of the Yankees, Alfredo Simon, of the Reds, Kendall Graveman, of the A’s and R.A. Dickey, of the Blue Jays. Other woeful money burners include Martin Perez, of the Rangers, Brandon Finnegan, of the Reds, Jeff Locke, of the Pirates and Ervin Santana, of the Twins.

Some of the pitchers used to major league success that have failed backers include Dallas Keuchel, of the Astros. Matt Harvey, of the Mets, James Shields, of the Padres. Perhaps the most surprising “loser” so far has been Tanner Roark, of the Nationals, who has cost his backers -$372 despite a 2.89 ERA.

DFS Starting Pitchers

Wednesday: Jake Arrieta (CUB) has limiting this St. Louis lineup to a .177 BA over 107 PAs • Jose Quintana (CWS), the majors’ biggest surprise on the hill this season, faces Cleveland at home • Hisashi Iwakuma (SEA) has held Oakland to a .233 mark over 96 Abs • Rubby De La Rosa (COL) has held Pittsburgh to a .140 mark over 61 PAs.

Thursday: Jose Fernandez (MIA) at Tampa Bay • Lance McCullers (HOU) has fanned eight Baltimore hits off just 20 ABs.

Friday: Max Scherzer (WAS) has allowed just two walks while striking out 26 in 71 at-bats against the Cardinals • Masahiro Tanaka, of the Yanks, has allowed Tampa just a .164 average over 63 PAs.

Saturday: Noah Syndergaard (Mets) has held the Dodgers to a .178 mark over 48 PAs • Zack Greinke (ARI), always gives the Padres fits, holding them to just a .191 clip over 205 PAs along with 44 Ks • Marcus Stroman (TOR) has limited the BoSox bats to a .236 average over 78 PAs • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs) at home against the Phils.

Sunday: Stephen Strasburg (WAS) is scoring consistently for cash game backers with his 7-0 W-L record entering the week • The same with Chris Sale setting records with his quick 9-0 start.

DFS Position Players

Wednesday: Mike Trout (LAA) has four HRs and a .394 average over 33 at-bats against the Rangers’ Colby Lewis, while teammates Kole Calhoun has a .387 mark over 31 ABs and • Rougned Odor is 10-for-21 against the Angels’ Hector Santiago • Jose Abreu (CWS) is 10-for-28 with three home runs against Cleveland’s Corey Kluber • Yanks’ SS Starlin Castro is 12-for-27 against Toronto’s Marco Estrada • Joe Panik (SF) is 9-for-17 against the Padres’ James Shields • Toronto’s Jose Bautista and Josh Donaldson are a combined 15-for 39 against the Yanks’ Ivan Nova • Paul Goldschmidt (ARI) is 5-for-9 against the Pirates’ Jeff Locke. Avoid: The Giants’ Denard Span, Buster Posey, Hunter Pence and Matt Duffy are a combined 11-for-90 against the Padres’ James Shields.

Thursday: Jarrod Dyson (KC) is 7-for-8 against the Orioles’ Miguel Gonzalez. Also, Jose Abreu is 7-for-19 against the Royals’ Danny Duffy • The Jays’ Kevin Pillar and Troy Tulowitzki are a combined 6-for-10 against the Yanks’ C.C. Sabathia. Avoid: Jose Bautista (TOR) is just 3-for-31 with 10 Ks against Sabathia, while teammate Michael Saunders is just 1-for-15 with 7 Ks against him.’

Friday: The Yanks’ Jacoby Ellsbury is 16-for-24 against the Rays’ Chris Archer • The Jays’ Josh Donaldson is 9-for-17 against Boston’s Joe Kelly • The Twins’ Joe Mauer is 14-for-41 against M’s ace Felix Hernandez, while teammate Trevor Plouffe is 6-for-11 against him • The Giants’ Brandon Crawford (SF) is 7-for-17 against the Rockies’ Tyler Chatwood • The Rockies at home have Trevor Story, Charlie Blackmon, DJ LeMahieu and Mark Reynolds, who are a combined 24-for-72 against the Giants’ Matt Cain • The Dodgers’ Adrian Gonzalez is 5-for-10 against Jake DeGrom. Avoid: Boston’s Mookie Betts and Xander Bogaerts are a combined 3-for-24 against Toronto’s J.A. Happ.

Saturday: Carlos Gonzalez (COL) is batting .320 with 5 HR against the Giants’ Madison Bumgarner • Toronto’s Edwin Incarnation, Justin Smoak and Jose Bautista are a combined 32-for-80 against Boston’s Rick Porcello • Washington’s super duo of Bryce Harper and Daniel Murphy are a combined 13-for-29 against the Cards’ Adam Wainwright; Brandon Belt (SF) is 6-for-13 against the Rockies’ Chad Bettis, while teammates Hunter Pence and Matt Duffy are a combined 11-for-23. Avoid: Jackie Bradley, Jr., of the Red Sox, took a 27-game hitting streak into this week’s action, but he is 0-for-8 against Stroman.

Sunday: Jose Bautista (TOR) is 18-for-52 as David Price comes back to Toronto now part of the Red Sox; Robinson Cano and Nelson Cruz, of Seattle, are a combined 27-for-45 with nine home runs against Twins righty Ervin Santana; David Ortiz and Xander Bogaerts are a combined 22-for-69 against the Jays’ R.A. Dickey; The Rockies’ Gerardo Parra (COL) is 11-for-32 against the Giants’ Johnny Cueto; John Jaso (PIT) is 9-for-20 against Yu Darvish, who has been out since Aug. 9, 2014; Yanks’ catcher Brian McCann is 12-for-20 with three homers against the Rays’ Jake Odorizzi. Avoid: Struggling Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) is 4-for-24 lifetime against the Braves’ Julio Teheran.

Ramon Scott is a Southern California-based sportswriter, covering the preps to the pros for over 25 years. Email: [email protected]