Brewers have recipe to take down Cardinals
April 03, 2018 3:02 AM
by Joe D'Amico
Grab a hotdog and a beer because it is baseball season.
You and I are going to be spending the next six months together, talking baseball, having some laughs, and making money.
I went down to visit one of my favorite sportsbooks in town over at Caesars Palace and spoke to 14-year veteran of the business and Caesars Entertainment Bookmaker Alan Berg, who is also a fellow columnist at GamingToday. As the place was packed with March Madness enthusiasts, we talked about the first week’s action in baseball.
Alan told me business was steady and consistent with the last several years of opening week. He said most of their baseball wagers are parlay-based, where bettors are laying their money down on the better pitchers. He went on to say run-line bets have risen in popularity over recent years.
As Caesars Palace is a Strip location, most of their customers are tourists, however the sportsbook does see local “sharps” looking for a solid lines.
“The bigger action right now is on the NCAA Tourney, but we expect that to change once the Big Dance is over. Baseball offers a great buffer for sports fans between the college basketball and football seasons,” Berg said.
Joe D’s best
(Any trends or streaks listed below will change, as can starting pitchers.)
St. Louis at Milwaukee
The Brewers sprung out of the gate to start the season at 3-0 behind solid hitting and good pitching. Granted, they swept the lowly, Padres, but that doesn’t take away anything from their performance. The Cardinals, who began the campaign at 1-2, are having pitching issues as several starters are on the DL. They will see things go from bad to worse as they are 3-8 the last 11 meetings with the Brewers.
Milwaukee gives Chase Anderson the nod. The RH was a respectable, 12-4 with a 2.74 ERA last year, and went 6.0 IP, allowing just one hit and 0 runs, with 6 K’s, and 3 BB’s, in his first start. St. Louis sends Jack Flaherty to the hill. The RH is 0-2 in six career games (five starts) and is making his 2018 debut. The Brewers are 4-1 their L5 vs. RH starters and 5-1 in Anderson’s L6 overall starts. The Cardinals are 1-4 their L5 vs. the NL Central and 3-9 their L12 overall games.
WIN Take Milwaukee
Philadelphia at New York Mets
Baseball is a game of trends and streaks. Having said that, Philadelphia is 9-20 the L29 meetings at Citi Field and 25-55 the L80 overall contests vs. New York. Noah Syndergaard gets the start at home. The 25-year-old will get a ton of support from his Mets lineup here as the offense faces a Phillies pitching staff that has gotten plowed for 27 runs over their first three outings.
The Phils give Nick Pivetta his first start of the season. The RH is 8-10 with a whopping ERA of 6.04 in 27 career starts. Philadelphia is 34-70 their L104 vs. RH starters and 29-65 their L94 on the road. New York is 11-4 their L15 vs. teams with a winning percentage of under .400 and 5-1 their L6 at home.
WIN Take the Mets.
Good luck and have a winning day.
2018 MLB (2-0-0): 3-1-0