Fantasy analytics are a great resource for betting games
August 14, 2018 3:05 AM
by Ramon Scott
Paying attention to the analytics involved in Daily Fantasy Sports contests can be a bigger help in standard baseball betting than some traditional handicapping analysis tools used by gamblers, particularly in baseball.
While standard research for both regular wagering and fantasy-style betting can be very similar, the mashing of late-breaking information and a true assessment of a lineup’s expected production can be key when deciding on all sorts of bets, including run lines, team totals and first-five innings wagers.
The findings in traditional splits as well as advanced baseball analytics (you know, the ones with all the acronyms) can give strong insight into what could be expected on the field in every game on a particular night.
Several internet-based DFS broadcasts dissecting up-to-the-minute lineup information can be consumed, most of which are broadcasting live right up until the top of the hour before the first pitch nightly. These are not to be confused with shows analyzing season-long fantasy prospects, although some top emerging personalities, including DraftKings’ Pat Mayo, produce shows for both disciplines.
While locally-based VSiN is terrific at giving out the South Point’s current line along with a general betting overview of the contest, including line movement analysis, the knowledgeable crew passes far more often than their likely average consumer, particularly in contests with little or no bearing on championship competition.
Meanwhile, some hard-core sports gambling information can be seen on the Sportsbook Review (SBR) network channel on YouTube. The long-time off-shore watchdog has long been an innovator in online sports gambling video content and currently seems to be at the height of its popularity.
The latest industry splash seems to be an overwhelming success, as well, as The Action Network has put together a respected industry roster of handicappers and analysts, and have teamed with SportsInsights, of Boston, Mass., a sports market software leader.
With the expected wave of legal sports gambling expected to wash across many states in the near future, more and more content providers will be looking up at these industry leaders.
One phenomenon that our beloved sports wagering can’t match yet is that of the DFS live final, in which gamblers – mostly high-roller – meet at a fun or exotic location to compete in a multi-game, one-day tournament, with the winner taking home a six- or seven-figure prize while the contestants sweat out the result in a room of giant screens, table service, and retired pro-athlete guests.
BREWERS (+150) at CUBS (Wed., 11:20): Kyle Hendricks has held this Brew crew to around a .225 average in more than 75 PAs, while the Brewers Junior Guerra has limited to Cubs to just a .175 average in over 80 PAs. Cubs have won 8 of the 11 matchups this year coming into this series and Milwaukee down nearly 15 units in day games. CUBS by 2
NATIONALS (+115, 8.5) at CARDINALS (Wed., 5:15): Lefty Austin Gomber makes his fourth start after shutting out KC for five innings on Friday after Royals were bought down 20 cents from -170 but St. Louis won, 7-0. Jeremy Hellickson has held the expected Cards lineup to around a .225 mark in close to 80 PAs and Nats 4-1 in his home starts. STL, 4-3
ROCKIES (+120, 9u15) at BRAVES (Thu., 4:35): Braves’ Julio Teheran has an ERA of 4.00 at home but has an ERA under 3.00 in seven home night starts. The Rockies’ Jon Gray has a 4.88 ERA on the road. Both pitchers have held the expected opposition to under a .200 batting average. ATL, 4-3
DIAMONDBACKS (-140, 8o20) at PADRES (Thu., 7:10): D’backs’ Clay Buchholz has been stellar, but even more so on the road with a 2.18 ERA. He’s faced this group and held them to around a .220 average a couple of times around. The Padres’ Jacob Nix is sure to attract the attention of sharps here after a stellar debut with 6 SO innings vs. Philly. ARI, 4-3
ORIOLES (+200, 9) at INDIANS (Fri., 4:10): Trevor Bauer has been dominant at home with a 6-1 record and 1.87 ERA. Cleveland has cleaned up their bullpen, as well, and the new arms are expected to perform. The O’s, with “ace” Dylan Bundy, have been the joke around the water cooler this week with their 50-plus games out of first-place standing. CLE, 5-3
ASTROS (-120, 7.5) at ATHLETICS (Fri., 7:05): Amazing Edwin Jackson has a 2.48 ERA so far for hot contender Oakland. He stopped the Angels bats on Saturday, especially the lefties, in another show-stopper for his third-straight win. Astros’ Charlie Morton took just his third loss of the season on Saturday as a two-dollar favorite at home vs. Seattle. HOU, 4-3
RAYS (+200, 9o20) at RED SOX (Sat., 4:10): Boston’s David Price has produced for his backers nearly 10 units this season after his domination of Baltimore on Saturday in G1 of a DH, striking out 10 over six shutout innings. Tyler Glasnow gives fans something to be excited about with his 2-0 start in Tampa but this is his first time against the Red Sox. BOS, 5-3
DODGERS (-130, 7.5) at MARINERS (Sat., 7:10): Dodgers’ Rich Hill continues in fine form and has an ERA just over 2.00 in six road night starts. He’s held the M’s lineup to under .200 in a 40 PA sample. Mariners’ Erasmo Ramirez returned with seven innings of three-hit ball, allowing no earned runs, against the Astros on Sunday in a 4-3 win. LAD, 4-3
BLUE JAYS (+200, 9.5) at YANKEES (Sat., 10:05 ): Yankees’ J.A. Happ won his first two Yankee starts heading into Tuesday’s home game against Tampa, including nine strikeouts last week in six innings against Texas. Blue Jays’ Ryan Borucki had won two-straight decisions and had a 2.81 ERA over 48 IP into Tuesday’s road start at Kansas City. NYY, 5-3
ANGELS (-105, 11) at RANGERS (Sun., 12:05): The Angels’ Jaime Barria had his best outing in two months last week when he shutout Detroit for 5 2/3 innings to pick up the win. Rangers’ lefty Martin Perez has a 6.71 ERA after the Yankees pummeled him for seven runs in five innings on Sunday. LAA, 6-5
METS at PHILLIES (Sun., 4:10): The Mets are stable enough that lefty Jason Vargas is penciled in for this National TV late five-game finale against the Phils after going against the O’s on the road on Tue. He got yanked in the first against Cincy in the start prior. No pick