MLB Over/Under Bet: Gray, Pomeranz open series in San Fran.

Jun 24, 2019 9:12 AM

Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants

Over/Under: 8

First pitch: 7:05 p.m. PT

TV: ESPN

Probable pitchers: Jon Gray (7-5, 4.18 ERA) vs. Drew Pomeranz (2-7, 7.09 ERA)

One of the unsung heroes in Colorado’s resurgence following their slow start to the campaign has unquestionably been Gray, who has gone from being left off the postseason roster to morphing again into a stalwart on the Rockies pitching staff.

The five-year veteran has seemingly rediscovered his old form. It was only two years ago when Gray went 10-4 with a relatively admirable 3.67 ERA. And just like that season, he’s striking out batters at a desirable rate, logging 9.66 K/9.

One key in Gray’s re-emergence is that opponents are pulling the ball considerably less than in any of his seasons in the big league. Hitters’ pull percentage off Gray sits at 34.6 percent -- by comparison, the lowest mark the Colorado right-hander has garnered in that area is 38.7 percent, which shows he’s really getting on top of hitters.

He’ll have a favorable matchup in this series opener, facing a Giants offense that typically doesn’t get it going at their pitcher-friendly ballpark, especially with the long ball. But of course, the elephant in the room regarding this under is Pomeranz and his eye-opening 7.09 ERA. I’ve already covered him a few times this year and can once again assure the left-hander is better than his current overall numbers.

He’s coming off a rough performance his last time out, though he did clock in with a pair of very nice outings in his prior two turns. I believe Pomeranz can deliver something closer to that, as he has displayed a tendency to rebound.

Get this under in as soon as possible, with the total already dropping in some places. Play: UNDER 8 (-120)

Yesterday’s Result: Orioles-Mariners Under 9.5 (loss)

Zylbert’s 2019 MLB Over/Under Betting Record*: 43-38-6, +0.55 unit

*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit

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