MLB Over/Under Bet: What to make of Wisler-Milone tag team

Aug 15, 2019 8:32 AM

Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers

Over/Under: 9

First pitch: 10:10 a.m. PT

Probable pitchers: Matt Wisler (2-2, 4.46 ERA) vs. Spencer Turnbull (3-10, 3.68 ERA)

Believe it or not, the tag team of Wisler and Tommy Milone is indeed one to watch whenever the Mariners elect to deploy it.

Of course, Wisler is merely serving as the “opener” here and being counted on, probably, for one or two innings to begin the ballgame. But he has done an excellent job doing that, as he hasn’t even allowed a single earned run in any of his first four “starts.”

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In fact, despite never really attaining any sustained success in the big leagues prior, Wisler may have finally found a home in Seattle. In his 10 outings with the Mariners overall, he’s assembled a 2.38 ERA and 0.88 WHIP across 11.1 innings.

Milone will take it from there, and while he, too, is another veteran like Wisler who hasn’t really panned out, he’s still succeeding in the position the Mariners are using him in.

This will be Milone’s 11th appearance either in long relief or as the designated “primary” pitcher, and in the first 10, the ninth-year southpaw was actually more than respectable, posting a 4.07 ERA and 0.99 WHIP (!) in those outings.

He gets a favorable draw this afternoon, as the Tigers are last in the American League with 3.67 runs scored per game. Not only that, Detroit is last in the majors in home runs off left-handed pitching, going hard just once every 37.1 at-bats. Being someone’s who main issue this year has been giving up the long ball, this can be very beneficial for Milone. And there’s no Domingo Santana in the lineup, too.

On the other end of the equation, it will be Turnbull going, which is a good thing when dealing with a relatively high over/under. The second-year right-hander has been very steady in his first full campaign -- even after recently returning off the injured list -- allowing three earned runs or fewer in all but three of his 21 assignments.

For this his next turn, Turnbull gets an opponent that doesn’t rank much higher than the Tigers’ MLB-worst .237 team batting average. Seattle is 26th, checking in with a .241 mark.

With the total being 9 (-120) at the moment, wait like I am up until first pitch to see if it goes up a half-run. There’s no way it goes in the opposite direction; it’s already the same as a recent Giolito vs. Turnbull matchup. Play: UNDER 9/9.5

Yesterday’s Result: Reds-Nationals Under 9 (loss)

Zylbert’s 2019 MLB Over/Under Betting Record*: 66-59-9, -0.2 unit

*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit

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