All right, LeBron James and his Cleveland Cavaliers have the Golden State Warriors right where he wants them. Sure, he’d rather be up 2-0 instead of down 0-2, but he relishes this type of challenge. It’s part of what makes him the greatest basketball player that ever lived.
What? Yes, I said it. Loved Michael, but I’ve never seen anyone do the things LeBron can do on the court. He’s a beast and about to show everyone why he’s the best. The Warriors came in as -240 favorites at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook to win the series. After the Warriors’ 113-91 beatdown in Game 1 the SuperBook adjusted the series price to -700. After Sunday’s 132-113 Warriors blowout, the SuperBook adjusted the Warriors to -2000 making the Cavaliers +1000.
That’s 10-to-1 odds on the defending world champions to come back from an 0-2 deficit and win four of the next five games. It seems unrealistic, but hold on a second; didn’t this happen last year? Wasn’t it the Cavaliers who lost the first two games at Golden State? They were down 3-1 and managed to win the final three games in epic fashion and then throw the biggest block party Cleveland has ever seen.
The entire idea behind the comeback was LeBron and his resolve. When he wants to, he can’t be stopped. He put the Cavs on his back last season and did the impossible. Sometimes he checks out mentally, but for the most part it’s a calculated move. He’s always got a method to his madness.
Yes, he’d love to be tied 1-1 or up 2-0, but I believe he’s going to use this deficit to his advantage to coach up his team. And let’s be real, we all know the Cavs have an official head coach but even Tyronn Lue sits down and shuts up when LeBron is speaking.
Game 3 is Wednesday night and the entire city of Las Vegas has the Warriors as 3-point road favorites with a total set at 226. The Warriors have won and covered the first two games. Game 1 stayed UNDER the total (226.5) and Game 2 flew OVER 222. Steph Curry had a triple-double in Game 2 – also eight turnovers – and the Warriors come into Wednesday’s Game 3 covering 11 straight on the road. Golden State has everything going their way, but they don’t have James.
This is where LeBron steps up and does his motivational speaking during practice. This is where he does his mental mastermind psychiatrist approach. For a kid who never went to college I’ve been amazed by some of the tactics LeBron has used over the years to teach his team lessons. Some games during the regular season he takes off. He doesn’t even try to score and lets the other guys try and figure it out. Sometimes those tactics go on for three or four weeks. “Figure it out guys.”
But then there are certain games where he’s says “pay attention, let’s do this. Play some damn defense.” And they listen. He leads. They follow. And then they look like the best NBA team ever assembled. It’s incredible to watch as it happens and I’m pretty sure it’s going to happen in Game 3 even though Golden State has gone 14-0 in the playoffs.
I’m taking +3 with Cleveland at home and I’ve split up my regular wager amount by also taking +135 on the money-line. I’ve also taken 10-to-1 with the Cavs to win the championship. Look for a much better defensive effort out of Cleveland at home to help Game 3 stay Under 226.
CFB is back
Yes, it’s only June but if you head over to Michael Gaughan’s South Point you’ll see they have all kinds of stuff posted for the upcoming college football season that kicks off Aug. 26 when Oregon State plays at Colorado State (-2). In addition to posting spreads on the first week of games, the South Point has also posted Game of the Year spreads such as Ohio State being a 7-point home favorite over Oklahoma on Sept. 9. The Buckeyes are also -7 at Michigan on Nov. 25, the same day Alabama is -3.5 at Auburn.
Last Friday, South Point sports book director Chris Andrews posted season win totals on every college football team. Ohio State and Alabama are both set at 10.5 wins based on 12 regular season games and you can also take a shot with New Mexico State at 3.5 wins. It’s a pretty awesome sight to see every team posted and for it to happen this early. Well done, Mr. Andrews!