Dustin Johnson the huge favorite of the US Open
June 13, 2017 3:12 AM
by Micah Roberts
The most popular U.S. Open golfer at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook bet windows comes as no surprise because he’s No. 1 in a lot of categories. Dustin Johnson has been bet to the prohibitive favorite to win this weekend’s 117th U.S. Open played at Erin Hills in Wisconsin, the first time the Open has been in Wisconsin.
“Dustin Johnson has the most money wagered on him and the most tickets bet on him so I’ve had to drop him down to 13-to-5 (+650) as an even bigger favorite,” said Westgate oddsmaker Jeff Sherman., “But at the same time I raised the odds on the other favorites like Jason Day, Rory McIlroy and Jordan Spieth all up to 12-1.”
Sherman opened Johnson as the 8-1 favorite right after the completion of the Masters, which Johnson skipped because he had fallen and injured his back (still suspicious) the day before the tournament teed off. Johnson has held the No. 1 World position since winning the Genesis Open in February at Pacific Palisades which began a run of winning three straight tournaments.
Johnson’s first tournament back after the injury saw him tie for second in the Wells Fargo Championship, then finish 12th in the Players Championship and 13th in the Byron Nelson. But then he missed the cut in the Memorial. Should bettors be alarmed with Johnson here?
“No, I’m expecting him to play well,” said Sherman. “He won the U.S. Open last year and the course should be a good fit for him.”
The course may give us the look of one in Scotland with its brown looking fescue greens and tall grass. Sherman says he likes the idea of the U.S. Open choosing to go to Wisconsin just because everyone will be fairly new to the course.
Among the favorites, Sherman has his eye on one golfer.
“I like Jason Day to have a good weekend. He’s coming off a couple of his best performances of the season and he’s been top-10 in the past two U.S. Opens.”
Day was runner-up at the Byron Nelson. The longshot Sherman talked glowingly about before the Masters was rookie Jon Rahm, who is the World’s No. 10 ranked golfer. The 22-year old Spaniard was among the Masters leaders for the first two days before finishing tied for 27th. It’s been an amazing rise to the top of the golf world for Rahm. Think about it, the kid was playing golf for Arizona State last season and he’s the World No. 10 within a year. It’s actually a drop from No. 9 after he missed the Memorial cut.
“I like him to do well this week,” Sherman said of Rahm, who he’s offering at 20-1 odds. “He’s got a win (Farmers Insurance Open) and he’s had five top-five finishes in his last nine starts. The long course here should be to his liking.”
One of the surprising non-bets of U.S. Open wagering at the Westgate has been Masters champion Sergio Garcia. In three tournaments since winning his first career major he’s averaged a 20th-place finish.
“We just haven’t seen the type of action on him that we normally see with the Masters winner.” Sherman said. “People don’t think he can win back-to-back majors and because of the light action I’ll be moving his odds from 25-1 up to 30-1.”
Maybe Garcia should be offered odds even higher. The last five golfers to win the Masters and U.S. Open in the same season were Jordan Spieth (2015), Tiger Woods (2000), Jack Nicklaus (1972) and Arnold Palmer (1960) and Ben Hogan (1952, 1953). Is Garcia really in that neighborhood?
Final Open wagers
I always listen to people who know than me about a subject and Sherman definitely qualifies as that since he basically pioneered wagering of weekly golf tournaments. He’s been going strong for 25 years in Las Vegas and I’ve won several times with his advice betting odds to win and golfer vs. golfer matchups. What I got out of ourSundayconversation is that I’m making wagers on Day (12/1), Rahm (20/1) and Jason Dufner (50/1). Then I threw in Rickie Fowler (20/1) just because I was impressed by his second-place in the Memorial last weekend. I’m also playing all those guys in matchups unless Day is up against Johnson.
The Westgate will have its dozens of U.S. Open props offered on Tuesday and they’ll have adjusted odds to win and golfer match-ups following the end of each round.On Sunday, as long as someone doesn’t run away with the win, Sherman will be doing in-progress wagering. They’ll also have U.S. Open audio played throughout the SuperBook and video displayed on one of their HD movie screens. It’s not a bad way to spend your Sunday this week.
NBA draft props
For the first time ever in Las Vegas they are available in this new lax Nevada gaming Control era. The props are of the random nature so no funny business has possibility of occurring in Nevada. How many Duke players will be drafted in first round? The Westgate set the number at 3.5 under -165. Kentucky’s number was set at 2.5 over -300. The Draft is set for Thursday, June 22 in Brooklyn, NY.
Yes, the Westgate has been busy this week. Rafael Nadal grabbed his record 10th French Open title and opens a respectable 6-1! Andy Murray, who hails from Glasgow, Scotland, has won Wimbledon two of the past four seasons and opens as the second-favorite to win at +275. Roger Federer opens as the 5-2 favorite, despite last winning there in 2012. His seven Wimbledon wins are tied for the most all-time. Novak Djokovic, a three-time winner, is listed at 6-1.