Vegas Rankings – College Football Top 25

Sep 18, 2012 3:00 AM

Each week, an elite group of bookmakers and professional bettors provide Pregame.com with their private power rankings. These numbers literally influence the worldwide sports betting market and together form the Vegas Rankings. Four categories convey what the “experts in the desert” truthfully think about the teams:

TRUE POWER: How good Vegas thinks a team really is.

HOME-FIELD ADVANTAGE: The value of each team’s home field.

BETTOR BIAS: How many points the public overvalues (positive numbers) or undervalues (negative numbers) a team.

POINT-SPREAD POWER: The combination of True Power and Bettor Bias.

To calculate the projected winner of any matchup: Take True Power (home team), ADD Home-Field Advantage and SUBTRACT True Power (away team).

To calculate the projected point spread of any matchup: Replace the True Power with Point-Spread Power, which includes Bettor Bias, the same way the actual Vegas line does.

Vegas Rankings – College Football Top 25
    Hm TRUE Bettor Spread
    Field Power Bias Power
1 Alabama 5.5 100.0 2.5 102.5
2 LSU 5.0 97.5 1.0 98.5
3 Oregon 6.0 94.5 0.5 95.0
4 Florida State 4.0 94.0 0.0 94.0
5 USC 4.5 93.5 0.5 94.0
6 Oklahoma 5.0 92.5 0.0 92.5
7 Texas 4.5 91.0 0.0 91.0
8 Georgia 5.0 90.0 0.0 90.0
9 West Virginia 5.0 89.0 0.0 89.0
t10 Kansas State 4.5 88.0 0.0 88.0
t10 Ohio State 5.0 88.0 0.5 88.5
t10 South Carolina 4.5 88.0 0.0 88.0
t13 Florida 5.0 87.5 0.0 87.5
t13 Notre Dame 4.0 87.5 0.5 88.0
t15 Stanford 4.5 87.0 0.0 87.0
t15 Nebraska 4.5 87.0 0.0 87.0
17 Oklahoma St. 4.5 86.5 0.0 86.5
18 Clemson 5.0 86.0 0.0 86.0
t19 Michigan 4.5 85.0 0.0 85.0
t19 TCU 4.5 85.0 0.0 85.0
t21 Michigan State 4.5 83.0 0.0 83.0
t21 Virginia Tech 5.5 83.0 0.0 83.0
t23 UCLA 4.0 82.5 0.0 82.5
t23 Texas A&M 4.5 82.5 0.0 82.5
25 Boise State 5.5 82.0 0.0 82.0

Voters include Chris Andrews, with over 30 years of Nevada bookmaking experience, and “Vegas Runner” – featured by ESPN and CNBC for his professional betting success.

RJ Bell is the founder of Pregame.com - and co-host of FIRST PREVIEW, heard Sunday through Friday night at 11 pm on ESPN 1100/98.9 FM. Follow on twitter: @RJinVegas. NFL Vegas Rankings updated every Tuesday at Pregame.com. Contact RJ at [email protected]

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