Tide not out on Alabama

Nov 13, 2012 3:00 AM

Each week, an elite group of bookmakers and professional bettors provide Pregame.com with their private power rankings. These numbers literally influence the worldwide sports betting market and together form the Vegas Rankings. Four categories convey what the “experts in the desert” truthfully think about the teams:

TRUE POWER: How good Vegas thinks a team really is.

THE HOME-FIELD ADVANTAGE: The value of each team’s home field.

BETTOR BIAS: How many points the public overvalues (positive numbers) or undervalues (negative numbers) a team.

POINT-SPREAD POWER: The combination of True Power and Bettor Bias.

To calculate the projected winner of any matchup: Take True Power (home team), ADD Home-Field Advantage and SUBTRACT True Power (away team).

To calculate the projected point spread of any matchup: Replace the True Power with Point-Spread Power, which includes Bettor Bias, the same way the actual Vegas line does.

Vegas Rankings – College Football Top 25
   
Home
True
Bettor
Spread
   
Field 
Power
Bias
Power
t1
Oregon
6
100
2
102
t1
Alabama
5
100
2
102
3
Florida State
4
93
0
93
t4
Kansas State
4.5
92.5
0
92.5
t4
LSU
5
92.5
0
92.5
6
Texas A&M
4.5
92
0
92
7
Georgia
4
91
0
91
8
Oklahoma
5
90.5
0
90.5
9
Clemson
5
89.5
0
89.5
t10
Florida
4
89
0
89
t10
Notre Dame
4
89
2
91
12
USC
3.5
88.5
0
88.5
13
South Carolina
4.5
88
0
88
t14
Oklahoma St
4.5
87
0
87
t14
Ohio State
5
87
1
88
t16
Nebraska
4.5
85
0
85
t16
Stanford
4.5
85
0
85
18
Texas
4.5
84.5
0
84.5
19
Oregon State
4
84
0
84
t20
UCLA
4
83
0
83
t20
Michigan
4.5
83
0
83
22
Wisconsin
5
82.5
0
82.5
23
Boise State
4.5
81
0
81
t24
Mississippi St
3.5
80.5
0
80.5
t24
TCU
4.5
80.5
0
80.5

Voters include Chris Andrews, with over 30 years of Nevada bookmaking experience, and “Vegas Runner” – featured by ESPN and CNBC for his professional betting success.

RJ Bell is the founder of Pregame.com - and co-host of FIRST PREVIEW, heard Sunday through Friday night at 11 pm on ESPN 1100/98.9 FM. Follow on twitter: @RJinVegas. NFL Vegas Rankings updated every Tuesday at Pregame.com. Contact RJ at [email protected]

 GamingToday on Facebook      and         GamingToday on Twitter