Doc’s selections last week for GamingToday were a mixed bag with an overall record of 1-2. With just one last week for college games, and before turning our full attention to the NFL for the rest of the year, our goal is to get this record back over .500 with a clean sweep.
We completely missed the mark in Nebraska’s 38-17 loss to Iowa as a 3-point home favorite. Ohio State pulled-out a crucial 42-41 win over Michigan but came nowhere near covering the 13-point spread on the road. Our lone win of the week was Notre Dame covering as 14-point road underdogs against Stanford.
Here are this week’s selections:
Take DUKE +29 over Florida State: This has been one of Duke’s best seasons in school history with a 10-2 straight-up record overall, including 6-2 in the ACC. The Blue Devils capped off the regular season with a huge 27-25 victory over North Carolina as 5-point road underdogs. They will be riding a wave of momentum into this title game and remain very dangerous with a “nothing to lose” attitude.
Florida State has been crushing teams all season long en route to a perfect 12-0 SU mark, including 8-0 in conference play. The Seminoles are 10-2 ATS and the total has gone OVER in 10 of the 12 games. There is little question FSU should win with ease, but take the Blue Devils and the 29 in a conference title game at a neutral site that stays surprisingly close deep into the second half.
Take OHIO STATE -5½ over Michigan State: Last Saturday’s closer-than-expected victory over Michigan should provide the perfect wake-up call for a Buckeyes team that suddenly finds itself just one win away from playing for a national title. You do not go 24-0 SU by accident, and guaranteed head coach Urban Meyer will have them ready to go come Saturday night.
There is little doubt Michigan State is the second-best team in the Big Ten at 11-1 SU and 8-0 SU in conference. The Spartans’ defense has been rock solid all season long and ranked fourth in points allowed (11.8). The offense has struggled to score points at times against some of the better teams they have faced, which will be the case again.
Take FRESNO STATE -3½ over Utah State: Fresno State comes into this Mountain West title game 10-1 SU after losing to San Jose State, 62-52, this past Friday as a 10½-point road favorite. This stunning setback is sure to get the attention of a Bulldogs team that has rolled over its opponents all season long with an average of 47.3 points a game – fourth-highest total in the nation.
The Aggies closed their season with five straight victories after an up and down 3-4 start. Their offense has scored its fair share of points, but they do not have the firepower, especially in their passing game, to hang with the Bulldogs on the road in what is almost certain to turn into a high-scoring shootout. Fresno State is a perfect 5-0 SU in the last five meetings at home with an average margin of victory of 21.2 points.
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