Big Ten roots say pick Purdue Boilermakers

September 02, 2014 3:00 AM


Boilermakers have a chance to double win total from a year ago

Revised 9-3-2014

Week 1 of the new NCAA football season is in the books and Doc’s Sports Services got a slow out of the gate with a 1-2 record for GamingToday.

Over the past 43 years, Doc’s Sports has become synonymous with the Big Ten Conference in the sports selection industry given our Wisconsin roots.

We connected on our first pick when Tulsa got past Tulane, 38-31, as a 5-point home favorite in both team’s first game as members of the AAC. But we missed the mark on Connecticut as a 16.5-point home underdog in a 35-10 loss to BYU, and our only Big Ten pick with Purdue beating Western Michigan, 43-34, as a 11-point favorite at home but not covering.

Here are this week’s selections:

Take PURDUE (-2.5) Over Central Michigan: The Boilermakers have a chance to double their win total from a year ago in just Week 2 of the new season. While Danny Etling only threw for 181 yards in this past Saturday’s win, Purdue got a huge effort on the ground with 226 total rushing yards.

Raheem Mostert led the way with 146 yards on 22 carries for an average of 6.6 yards an attempt. Look for the Boilermakers to use the same formula in this week’s game.

Central Michigan, out of the MAC’s West Division, opened its season with a 20-16 victory over Division IAA Chattanooga, which plays in the Southern Conference. The Chippewas failed to cover as 10.5-point home favorites on the closing betting line. They actually trailed in this game, 16-7, at the half but rallied with 13 unanswered points in the third quarter.

Take UMASS (+17) Over Colorado: UMass had its hands full in a season-opening 30-7 loss to Boston College as a 17-point home favorite. One of the main takeaways from this loss was the play of wide receiver Tajae Sharpe. He only had two receptions in that game, but they were for 90 yards and a score. Quarterback Blake Frohnapfel will no doubt be looking to increase these numbers this Saturday against Colorado.

The Buffaloes are coming off a 31-17 loss to Colorado State as 2.5-point home favorites, which could point to another long season for a team that lost its last eight games in 2012 and went just 1-5 in its final six games last year. Colorado actually had a three-point lead over the Rams through three quarters of play, but a fourth quarter collapse in which it was outscored 17-0 sealed its fate.

Take UTAH (-10) Over Fresno State: The Utes got off to a strong start by pasting Idaho State, 56-14, as healthy 41-point home favorites in last Thursday’s season opener. They racked up 238 yards on the ground behind Devontae Booker’s 78 yards on 10 carries, but Utah’s passing game accounted for most of the yards with Travis Wilson going 13-for-18 for 265 yards. All told, the offense passed for 351 yards on the day.

Fresno State should again have its hands full this Saturday after getting pasted by another Pac-12 team in its season opener. USC rolled-up 21 points in the first quarter en route to a 52-13 rout that easily covered the 18.5-point spread as a home favorite. The Bulldogs fell to 1-3 against the spread in their last four games. While the offense sputtered all day long against the Trojans, the bigger concern has to be the 701 total yards Fresno State’s defense gave up in that game.

Season record: 1-2

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