Doc's Sports gives 3 strongest NCAA football picks
September 16, 2014 3:00 AM
by Doc's Sports
Doc’s Sports year-to-date record in our top picks for GamingToday dipped under .500 to 4-5 after coming-up short in two of our three selections for Week 3.
Doc’s has once again teamed up with GamingToday to give you three of our strongest selections for each and every week of this year’s college football season. Doc’s has released selections for college games with a special interest in Big Ten football.
Last week got off to a strong start with Western Michigan rolling over Idaho, 45-33, as a 2.5-point road underdog, but things went south from there with Tulsa losing to Florida Atlantic, 50-21, as a 1.5-point road favorite and Arizona failing to cover as a 14.5-point home favorite in a 35-28 victory over Nevada.
Here are this week’s selections:
Take COLORADO (-7.5) over Hawaii: The Buffaloes hung tough against No. 15 Arizona State for the first two quarters this past Saturday, but in the end they fell, 38-24, to their Pac-12 foes. Colorado did cover with the 16 points at home and the total stayed under the 68-point closing line.
The defense has had its share of problems in the Buffaloes’ 1-2 start, but the offense has shown it can move the ball through the air behind quarterback Sefo Liufau and on the ground with Christian Powell leading the way.
Hawaii shook off two tight losses to Washington and Oregon State as heavy home underdogs by beating Northern Iowa this past week, 27-24, in a game that ended as a pick. UH is now 1-2 straight-up and 3-0 against the spread.
The concern heading into this matchup is a Warriors’ defense that is ranked 76th in the nation in points allowed (26.3). The other problem is Hawaii does not have the offensive fire power to keep up with the Buffaloes on the scoreboard.
Take HOUSTON (-20.5) over UNLV: After a slow start out of the gate that included a stunning 27-7 loss to Texas-San Antonio as 8.5-point home favorites, the Cougars gave No. 21 BYU all it could handle last Thursday night in a 33-25 loss as 17-point road underdogs.
Houston has had its issues running the ball, but its vaunted passing attack is starting to return to form behind quarterback John O’Korn. He has thrown for 711 yards and four touchdowns in the team’s first three games.
The Rebels come into this matchup with one of the most porous defenses in the nation. Through their first three games this unit is giving-up an average of 39.3 points per game, which is almost double what the offense has produced (20 PPG).
UNLV comes off a 48-34 loss to Northern Illinois as 10-point underdogs at home to fall to 0-3 ATS. UNLV’s only SU win of the year was a 13-12 victory over FCS school Northern Colorado as a 27.5-point favorite at home.
Take OREGON (-23.5) over Washington State: The No. 2-ranked Ducks scored 45 points or more in their third consecutive game with this past Saturday’s 48-14 romp over Wyoming. They failed to cover as 42-point home favorites, but called off the dogs early in the second half after building a 34-point lead.
This game will be Oregon’s season opener in Pac-12 play so you get the feeling the starters might go the distance to set the right tone for the rest of the year. Last year at home the Ducks beat the Cougars, 62-38, as a 40-point favorite.
Washington State could not get past Rutgers in a 41-38 loss as a 7.5-point home favorite and as a 3.5-point favorite on the road the following week fell to Nevada, 24-13. The Cougars notched their first win of the season this past Saturday by beating up on FCS Portland State, 59-21, as 23.5-point home favorites.
Quarterback Connor Holiday has thrown for 1,465 yards and 12 touchdowns as part of a Washington State offense that is ranked No. 1 in the nation in passing yards per game, but with a ground game that is averaging just 40 PPG. Wazzu will be hard-pressed to keep the Ducks’ offense from scoring early and often this Saturday night.
Last week: 1-2 Season: 4-5
Doc’s Sports is celebrating their 42nd year in the sports handicapping industry and giving GamingToday readers $60 worth member picks free with no obligation. Visit www.GTfree60.com. Contact them at firstname.lastname@example.org.