We're on point with Notre Dame this week vs. Florida St.
October 14, 2014 3:00 AM
by Doc's Sports
Doc’s Sports moved to 9-8-1 in our weekly college football selections for GamingToday heading into Week 7 of this season, but we slid backward last week with a 1-2 mark to even our record.
While our selection packages cover games from every Division IA conference, we will always stay true to the old adage that you should bet on what you know best and no one in the sports betting industry has deeper insight into Big Ten football than we do.
Georgia Tech’s recent climb into the national rankings with an undefeated start came to a sudden halt with last Saturday’s 31-25 loss to Duke as a 4.5-point home favorite. We were also on the wrong side of Florida’s 30-27 loss to LSU as a 1.5-point underdog at home. The lone win of the week was the right call on Oregon’s 42-30 romp over UCLA as a three-point favorite on the road.
Here are this week’s selections:
NEVADA +11.5 over BYU: The Wolf Pack have lost their last two games both straight-up and against the spread to fall to 3-3 both ways on the year. This past Saturday they fell to Colorado State, 31-24, as 2-point home underdogs with the total staying UNDER 64. Despite the recent setbacks, Nevada quarterback Cody Fajardo still gives his team a powerful one-two punch both throwing (1,401 yards passing) and running with the ball (405 yards rushing).
BYU also had a duel threat at quarterback that was largely responsible for the Cougars’ fast 4-0 SU start, but when Taysom Hill was lost for the season with a broken leg so were their chances for a perfect run through the schedule. BYU has now lost its last two games SU and it has failed to cover ATS in its last four. The Cougars may be able to salvage a SU win this Saturday, but it is really hard seeing them cover a spread as wide as this.
COLO ST. -5.5 over Utah State: The Rams' victory over Nevada this past Saturday was their fourth in a row both SU and ATS. They are now 5-1 on the year heading into this Saturday’s contest. Colorado State is currently ranked 16th in the nation in passing yards per game with 318.7 behind the arm of Garrett Grayson. He has thrown for 1,823 yards and 16 touchdowns while completing 63.3 percent of his 207 attempts.
Utah State followed up its 35-20 upset of BYU as a 21-point road underdog with a 34-16 romp over Air Force this past Saturday as a 7-point home favorite, but it is still just 2-4 ATS this year. The Aggies are ranked 83rd in the nation in scoring with an average of 27.7 points a game and their rushing offense is ranked 99th with an average of 138.2 yards a game. Look for them to have trouble keeping pace against a much more potent offense in this matchup.
NOTRE DAME +13.5 over Florida St.: Notre Dame has worked its way to No. 5 in the latest AP Top 25 with a perfect 6-0 SU (4-2 ATS). It outlasted North Carolina 50-43 this past Saturday as a 16.5-point home favorite in a game it almost got caught looking ahead to this week’s make-or-break showdown for a playoff run. The Fighting Irish have the firepower to stay neck-and-neck with a team like Florida State behind the arm and legs of quarterback Everett Golson to the point where they can win this game outright.
The Seminoles are also 6-0 SU on the year, but after failing to cover as 23.5-point road favorites against Syracuse this past Saturday in an 18-point win, their ATS record fell to just 1-5 on the year. This lack of dominance against teams it should be blowing out of the water is a major red flag for Florida State in a tough matchup such as this. This is a prime trap game for a team that has yet to be truly tested with Jameis Winston at quarterback.
Last Week: 1-2
Doc’s Sports is celebrating their 42nd year in the sports handicapping industry and giving GamingToday readers $60 worth member picks free with no obligation. Visit www.GTfree60.com. Contact them at email@example.com.