NCAA: Stanford's defense could crush Oregon State

October 21, 2014 3:04 AM
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12-PAC North Division matchup favors Stanford's defense Doc’s Sports cashed-in on two of our top three selections for GamingToday this past Saturday to take our record to 12-11-1 on the year.

Looking back over last week’s picks we got off to a fast start in Nevada’s 42-35 victory against BYU as an 11.5-point road underdog and we easily covered with the 13.5 points in Notre Dame’s tough 31-27 loss to Florida State.

We made the right straight-up call in Colorado State’s tight 16-13 win over Utah State, but the Rams could not cover the 5.5-point spread as home favorites.

Here are this week’s selections:

Take STANFORD (-13.5) over Oregon State: The Cardinal come into this Pac-12 North Division matchup with a straight-up record of 4-3 and a 2-2 mark in conference play after this past Saturday’s 26-10 loss to Arizona State.

They actually closed as 3.5-point road favorites and the total stayed “under” the 54-point closing line. This game could be a welcomed site on the schedule considering Stanford has won five of the last six meetings both SU and against the spread.

The Beavers have now lost two of their last three games with last Thursday’s 29-23 setback to Utah as 1-point home underdogs. They are still 4-2 SU on the year, but they have failed to cover in four of the six games.

Oregon State could have some major trouble putting points on the board against Stanford’s second-ranked defense in points allowed with an offense that is ranked 84th in the nation in scoring.

Take COLORADO ST. -18.5 over Wyoming: We are going with Colorado State again this week in a matchup that has blowout written all over it. The Rams come into this MWC tilt with a 6-1 SU (5-2 ATS) record in their first seven games and a 2-1 record in conference play.

The win over Utah State ran their current SU winning streak to five games behind a passing offense that is ranked 17th in the nation in average yards. Garret Grayson has thrown for 2,066 yards and 16 touchdowns so far this year.

The Cowboys fell to San Jose State, 27-20, their last time out as 3.5-point home underdogs, and overall they are now 1-4 both SU and ATS in their last five games. Their offense is averaging just 18.6 points a game and Wyoming’s defense has been tagged for an average of 30.4 points by its opponents.

The way that Colorado State can put up points in bunches, the Rams will be hard pressed to keep this game close into the second half.

Take NEVADA -4 over Hawaii: We are going to ride Nevada again as well after last week’s impressive SU win over BYU as a double-digit underdog. The Wolf Pack are now 4-3 both SU and ATS and they have scored an average of 37.3 points in their last three games.

Cody Fajardo continues to be a duel threat with 1,686 yards passing and 10 touchdown throws to go along with 452 yards and eight scores on the ground.

Hawaii has posted just two SU wins this season against five losses and its only conference win in the Mountain West came against Wyoming.

The Warriors are 1-2-1 ATS in their last four games after settling for a “push” against San Diego State in a 20-10 loss on the road last week. Offensively, this unit has failed to score more than 14 points in three of its last four games and it will struggle once again to keep pace in this matchup.

Last Week: 2-1

Season: 12-11-1

Doc’s Sports is celebrating their 42nd year in the sports handicapping industry and giving GamingToday readers $60 worth member picks free with no obligation. Visit www.GTfree60.comContact them at docssports@gamingtoday.com.

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