Michigan St. Spartans are marching toward Big Ten title game
November 04, 2014 3:02 AM
by Doc's Sports
We had doubled-up our wins against losses over the last three Saturday’s in Doc’s top three picks for GamingToday.
Nevada has been good to us the past few weeks and the Wolf Pack came through again this past Saturday with a 30-14 victory over San Diego State as 4.5-point home favorites. We also cashed-in on Utah State’s 35-14 win against Hawaii as a two-point road favorite, but missed the mark in Middle Tennessee’s 27-7 loss to BYU as a 7-point favorite at home.
Take IOWA -2.5 over Minnesota: The Hawkeyes notched their sixth win of the season straight-up with a 48-7 romp over Northwestern this past Saturday. They covered as 3-point home favorites to go 4-1 both SU and against the spread in their last five games. Iowa has now rolled-up an average of 34.4 points a game in its last five outings and its defense continues to play tough by holding teams to an average of just 20 points a game.
Minnesota’s recent four-game winning streak came to an abrupt end a few weeks back in a 28-24 loss to Illinois as a 4-point favorite on the road. The Golden Gophers are 6-2 SU on the year with a 4-4 record ATS. While they will be well-rested coming off a bye, they have lost 10 of the last 13 games in this matchup SU and their record ATS in the last 15 meetings is just 5-10. Past trends aside, Minnesota is ranked 78th in the nation in scoring, which will make it hard to keep pace with the high-flying Hawkeyes come Saturday afternoon.
Take TEXAS +4.5 over West Virginia: Texas has been able to string together a pair of SU wins in its last three games including a 34-13 victory over Texas Tech this past Saturday as a 4-point road favorite. It is now an even 3-3 both SU and ATS in Big 12 play. The Longhorns’ offense is averaging just 22.2 points a game, but it continues to improve as the year wears on with 26 points or more in three of their last four outings.
Scoring points has not been an issue for West Virginia this season with an average of 36.1 points a game, but it has had its issues keeping teams from doing the same especially on the road. In a huge showdown against TCU this past Saturday, the Mountaineers ended-up on the wrong end of a tough 31-30 loss as 3.5-point home underdogs. Looking back over their schedule, they gave-up 37 points on the road in a 3-point victory against Maryland and a few weeks ago they allowed 34 in a 3-point road win against Texas Tech. Look for another tight finish on the road against the Longhorns.
Take MICHIGAN ST. -3.5 over Ohio State: Michigan State will be looking to move up the College Football Playoff Rankings this week after pasting Michigan 35-11 this past Saturday as a 16.5-point home favorite. The Spartans are now 7-1 SU (5-3 ATS) and marching toward the Big Ten title game. This Saturday’s showdown remains the last serious challenge to securing the East Division title with both teams sitting at 4-0 SU in conference play.
The Buckeyes have remained under the radar for most of the year following a devastating loss to Virginia Tech early in the season as 10-point home favorites. They have reeled-off six straight victories since that loss while scoring 50 or more points in five of those games. The concern heading into this matchup is a 1-3 record ATS in their last four road games verses Michigan State’s 7-3 ATS record in its last 10 at home.
Last Week: 2-1 Season: 16-13-1
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