Badgers will get it done; Rebels should test UNR

November 25, 2014 3:00 AM


Rebels should test UNR This past Saturday, we ended-up on the wrong side in two of three games in what was one of the tougher weeks this year.

Notre Dame failed to bounce-back like we expected in a straight-up loss to Louisville and Wisconsin could not cover the 9-point spread in its tight 26-24 win on the road over Iowa. The one correct call in last week’s picks was Fresno State.

Here are this week’s selections:

Take WISCONSIN (-13) over Minnesota: The Badgers may have not covered this past Saturday, but the win over Iowa put them one step closer to laying claim to the Big Ten West Division crown at 6-1 straight-up in conference play. A victory against Minnesota this Saturday would clinch a spot in next month’s Big Ten title game. Wisconsin’s current SU winning streak now stands at six games and it is 4-1 against the spread in its last five contests.

The Golden Gophers are 5-2 SU in conference play after this past Saturday’s 28-24 win over Nebraska as 8½-point road underdogs. If they could somehow find a way to win this game the West Division crown would be theirs. However that is going to be much easier said than done considering Minnesota is 0-5 SU in the last five meetings and just 2-5 ATS in its last seven games against the Badgers.

Take GA. TECH (+12.5) over Georgia: The Yellow Jackets are 9-2 SU and riding a four-game winning streak both SU and ATS heading into this annual rivalry game. They have clinched a spot in this year’s ACC title game by winning the Coastal Division with a record of 6-2 behind a bruising running game that is averaging 327.9 yards a game. Georgia Tech is No. 14 in the nation in scoring with 37.8 ppg.

Georgia still has an outside shot at winning the SEC East if Missouri gets tripped-up this Friday against Arkansas. The Bulldogs wrapped up conference play at 6-2 and they are 9-2 SU on the year. They are 7-4 ATS this season after covering in their last three games. Georgia has a 4-1 edge ATS in the last five meetings, but this is the best Georgia Tech team it will face in a number of years.

Take UNLV (+9.5) over Nevada: It has been a long season for the Rebels with just two SU wins against nine losses, but they have been decent to bet on down the stretch with a 4-2 record ATS in their last six games. UNLV started this six-game run with a 30-27 SU win over Fresno State on Oct. 10 as a 9.5-point underdog at home.

Nevada has now failed to cover in its last two games and it is 3-4 ATS over the last seven outings. The Wolf Pack’s defense has been an issue all season long, but this unit has now allowed an average of 30.4 points in its last five games. They now have to go on the road against a huge MWC rival with a 2-5 record ATS in their last seven trips to Las Vegas.

Last week: 1-2

Season: 19-19-1

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