Seminoles should cool off Jackets
December 02, 2014 3:07 AM
by Doc's Sports
Doc’s Sports has reached the end of another season of college football picks for GamingToday.
Heading into this final Saturday of games we compiled an overall record of 20-21-1 after going 1-2 with last week’s picks.
Recapping last Saturday’s picks, we were right on the money in Georgia Tech’s 30-24 overtime upset against Georgia as a 12.5-point road favorite. Wisconsin got past Minnesota, 34-24, to lay claim to the Big Ten’s West Division crown, but the Badgers could not cover as 13-point favorites at home. We went with UNLV plus 9.5 points against Nevada, but the Rebels came up well short in a 49-27 loss.
Here are this week’s selections:
Take CINCINNATI (-6.5) over Houston: The Bearcats played themselves into a 6-1 record in the AAC with a six-game winning streak both straight-up and against the spread. This past Saturday, they squeezed past Temple, 14-6, in a hard-fought victory as seven-point road favorites and their defense has now held opponents to 17 points or less in five of the six wins.
Cincinnati is averaging 35.2 points a game behind a passing attack that is ranked 14th in the nation in average yards (295.8).
We find the Cougars coming into this season finale at 5-2 SU in conference games and 7-4 overall. They have won five of their last six games SU, but they have failed to cover in two of their last three outings. The hardest loss to swallow was a shocking 31-24 setback to Tulane on Nov. 8 as a 17-point home favorite that cost Houston a shot at the AAC title.
The offense has struggled with consistency all season long and it is currently ranked 66th in the nation in scoring with 29.2 points a game. Look for the Cougars to struggle again this Saturday to keep pace with the potent Bearcats.
Take FLORIDA ST. (-3.5) over Georgia Tech: Florida State has had its fair share of close calls this season and last Saturday’s 24-19 victory over rival Florida as a 7-point home favorite was no exception. This team has become notorious for slow starts, which has helped contribute to a 3-9 record ATS, but in the end, the Seminoles remain undefeated at 12-0.
The basic takeaway is they know how to win games after going undefeated last season as well, and laying just 3.5 points in this game is not all that much of a deterrent to keeping this streak alive.
The Yellow Jackets’ capped-off a four-game run to the ACC’s Coastal Division title with a stunning 30-24 overtime victory against rival Georgia as 10.5-point road underdogs. This extended their current winning streak to five games both SU and ATS.
There is little doubt Georgia Tech is playing at a high level right now, but it could be in for a slight letdown after last Saturday’s emotional win. Its defense could also have a difficult time slowing down the Seminoles after allowing an average of 30.8 points in five of its last seven games.
Take WISCONSIN (-4) over Ohio State: Wisconsin continues to find ways to win with a seven-game SU winning streak heading into this Big Ten title matchup. The Badgers have failed to cover in their last two outings, but with so much on the line this Saturday, look for a strong effort on both sides of the ball.
The main reason they should bring home the conference title is Melvin Gordon and a Wisconsin running game that is ranked third in the nation in yards per game with 334.3. It also helps when your defense is ranked fourth in points allowed (16.8).
Ohio State’s 42-28 romp over Michigan this past Saturday as a 21.5-point home favorite came at a very steep price. JT Barrett was lost for the season with a leg injury and now the Buckeyes will have to scramble to not only replace their starting quarterback, but a huge piece of a rushing attack that was ranked 12th in the nation with 257.4 yards a game.
This is just too big a void to fill at this time of the year against a quality opponent such as Wisconsin.
Last Week: 1-2
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